Putin is terribly afraid of humiliation. Why for the Kremlin peace according to Trump rules is impossible

In recent weeks, many have got to the trap of the inevitability of effective negotiations, which will be able to incite Trump to Putin's peace. Journalist Vadim Denysenko proposes to understand how realistic it is. In recent weeks, we have all got into the trap of the inevitability of effective negotiations. Let's understand how realistic it is. 1. The full -scale invasion in 2022 began for two reasons: 2.

It is very important to pay attention to the fact that none of these purposes have not been achieved today (as for me, it cannot be achieved, but the Kremlin is not understood) . And this is a key point to understand how Putin will behave while talking to Trump. 3. The second important point to pay attention to is the change of the national idea of ​​Russia after the election of Emperor Putin in March 2024.

From that moment on, the main national idea of ​​Russia sounds like this: "Putin wants to live as long as possible and die in the presidential chair with his death. " All decisions of Russia are made on the basis of this idea. Therefore, when we analyze whether Putin can now agree to freeze the conflict, we have to answer the question: that for his life is less threatening - peace or continuation of the war.

There is no clear answer, but given the current realities, it seems that the continuation of the war may be more comfortable for some time - the end of the war requires many social issues that Russia is not ready. Of course, these issues will not go anywhere, but they can be more likely to be perceived by society in the event of unconditional victory. And the peace on Trump's conditions will be perceived by many in Russia as a victory. 4.

It is also worth paying attention to the fact that Putin is terribly afraid of humiliation, and now to negotiate on Trump conditions for him - humiliation. 5. In contrast to all this, there is one thing: the economy and the increasing technological dependence of Russia on China, which becomes a national threat. The standard of living in Russia falls that official statistics and Russian researchers, even from very respected good Russians, testify.

Yes, this fall in the long run will not lead to a collapse of the 1989-1991 model, but it will cause the deep stagnation of the Russian economy for the next decade. And Putin understands it perfectly. 6. The prospect of negotiations depends on two factors: awareness of economic threats and the answer of Putin himself to the question "Why is it not humiliation. " 7. So far, I think Putin is not ready for negotiations.