Nuclear strike, NATO Land League, Crimea's return: 5 scenarios of the upcoming war in Ukraine are named
Moscow can in the future try to conquer the whole of Ukraine or fatigue the Ukrainian army, seeking to force Kyiv to make unthinkable concessions, the authors of the report said. "Carpet bombardment, chemical or biological attacks can be used to suppress resistance in large occupied cities, for example, in Kherson," the material reads. US experts have stated a chance to use low -power tactical nuclear weapons to break down the strengthened borders of the Armed Forces in the Donbass.
According to experts, Western allies should be prepared for each of the possible options. Atlantic Council considered 5 main scenarios of the Russian-Ukrainian war. If the Russian military increases the frequency of Ukrainian civilian infrastructure attacks, the NATO and the EU should follow the US example and expand Ukraine's military support. At the same time, such actions should not push the Russian Federation to direct contact with NATO or the US.
The following measures are proposed: the Kremlin can significantly limit or stop exporting energy to the West to press on governments. Analysts propose to maximize Russia's participation in the global economic system in the following sanctions: Moscow can resort to large -scale cyberattacks for critical infrastructure, such as oil pipelines.
Atlantic Council calls for an event to give a consolidated answer: if Russia successfully regugles the troops and has a major offensive against the Armed Forces, measures should be taken to prevent a humanitarian catastrophe and support the Ukrainian military. For this purpose it is necessary: if Russia applies chemical, biological or nuclear weapons, analysts call for the most rigid answer. "Decisions will require serious casualties from the Western public.
They will raise tensions in relations with the Russian Federation to a new level and make normalization impossible," the authors of the report said. As a response to this, we should consider: recall that Ukrainian experts consider the airfield's defeat in Dzhanka, where the 39th helicopter regiment of Russia is located. Russia and Belarus want to conduct new military exercises from August 30 to September 5. Maneuvers will be held in the Eastern Military District.