Shadow of peace or ghost escalation: whether the end of the war brought the meeting of Trump, Zelensky and Europe
Initially, Zelensky and Trump spoke face-to-face, and later there was a conversation in a wide circle, which, in addition to the leaders of Ukraine and the United States, was attended by the UK Prime Minister Kir Starmer, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Prime Minister of Italian Empovia, President Finnish, Finnish, Finnish, President Background Der Lyen, as well as NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.
At the end of this talk round, Donald Trump called Putin, a conversation with which lasted 40 minutes. According to the results of a long diplomatic marathon in the White House on August 18-19, President Zelensky, thanking all participants of the discussion personally, wrote on Telegram: "Many questions discussed with President Trump. Long conversation in detail. The President of the US is a key issue.
Given the lack of clear details after the White House summit, the political scientist, expert of the United Ukraine Center, said in conversation with focus, the United Ukraine Center, Petro Oleshchuk, it is difficult to talk about specific issues. "I would mention the legendary meme with three gradations in this context:" betrayal "," victory "," struggle continues. " He took the position closer to them, using any methods and means.
Stating that by yesterday the summit was dominant from the Russian Federation, the expert noted: "During the current meeting in the White House, Ukraine was able to impose a slightly different discourse that the key issue was the issue of security guarantees. It is ready to recognize, it is unknown for sure, but indirectly I conclude that he wanted something like the Budapest Memorandum-2.
Important because only the United States is an authority for Russia and therefore narrows the possibility of any provocations from the Russians. " According to Petr Oleshchuk, in the case of the placement of the American-European contingent in Ukraine, the desire of the Russian Federation for 5, 6, 12 months to "defrost" the war, it is slightly reduced.
"This is a certain diplomatic opportunity for Ukraine, which puts Putin in a sufficiently ambiguous situation: you either accept this proposal for a contingent, or give up on it. But if you refuse, then, you are against the end of the war. In a word, the diplomatic ping will now begin.
The analyst draws special attention to the fact that during yesterday's summit in the White House, the question of the territories, President Zelensky pointed out not as a prerequisite for meeting with Putin, but as a direct subject of negotiations. "Here the calculation is quite simple and its essence is that Putin will just go out from this meeting.
By the way, Putin's assistant Ushakov has already commented that Russia is ready to think about raising the level of negotiation group with Ukraine, but Putin is not going to participate in this. Who will drag this round on his side.
At the same time, the executive director of the Center for Applied Political Studies "Penta" Alexander Leonov, commenting on the focus of the summit in the White House, states: "So far, as in the case of a recent meeting on Alaska, we cannot talk about any specific arrangements. Putin, including the history of the Americans, has said Vitcoff in recent days, and Trump himself is a completely Russian narrative.
Currently, Trump, "all the power of his relentless energy", predicts the political scientist, will be directed to organizing such a meeting. "Trump has already started to do so when, after meeting with Zelensky and the euro, Putin ran to call Putin. At the same time Ushakov said, we say, we only have to start talking about raising the status of the winners. And Trump instead runs and shouts that during the week we have to meet the highest, and the highway.
The character is worthwhile, " - emphasizes Alexander Leonov. The political scientist notes that Kyiv and Euro leaders have prepared to meet Trump, starting from Zelensky's costume, ending with systematic flattery to the White House Head. "This whole story of the costume on the one hand looks ridiculous on the background of the war, and on the other side - if the result is needed, you can in principle be wearing a Batman costume.
We will hope that a new tactic of cooperation with Trump will continue to work in the future," Leonov summarizes. Evaluating the Suma on Alaska and the White House, the expert exposes the "drawing" and emphasizes the importance of returning to Russia's pressure on Russia. Political scientist Igor Reityrovich believes that the summit in the White House was "quite good".
Understanding this in a conversation with focus, the expert said: "Judging by all, there was a serious-not superficial but deep conversation, as they touched on issues that are really important for Ukraine. They remain with European countries and continue to support Ukraine. " Meanwhile, from a practical point of view, the expert emphasizes, it is not necessary to talk about some achievements, since it does not have specific decisions and documents yet.
"Although work on the document has begun and I understand it so it will consist of two key parts. The first will directly touch the formats of the end of the war. The second part is security guarantees for Ukraine," says Igor Reityrovich. In general, he believes that one way or another, everything is reduced to a key point - meeting Zelensky, Putin and Trump.
The politician considers the recognition of Trump and the euro to the leaders of the end of the war, which should be implemented without delaying in the distant chest, here and now. In this context, Igor Reityrovich predicts increased pressure on the Russian Federation, as a single country that does not want to end the war.
Speaking about the issue of the so -called territories exchange, the political scientist noted that Ukraine should "cling to" in Trump's phrase about the line of collision as a starting point. In general, on Donald Trump, Igor Reityrovich is convinced, the American media made a tremendous impression, "who simply smeared him for meeting in Alaska.
" And so much as the President of the US does not talk about Fake News, the political scientist emphasizes, he was forced to take into account the voice of the media and public opinion, which play absolutely not in favor of Russia. These factors, according to Igor Reiterovich, can keep Trump from temptation in the future to play Moscow. Instead, the key task for Kiev in the near future is the need for "knocking" from the Russian Federation of a specific meeting at the level of leaders.