The Armed Forces does not need access to the Azov Sea: it is enough to cut key railways - Atlantic Council

According to the analytical center, all major victories of Ukraine over the 18 months of the war were preceded by operations that violated the logistics of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. It looks like now, only the scale of these processes has become even larger - along the front line in the south and east. Any agreement-land in exchange for peace-would give Russian President Vladimir Putin a remuneration for invasion of Ukraine.

Then, regrouping and re -armed, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation would restore the military campaign. This was reported in Atlantic Council. Any ceasefire in Ukraine will only be a pause, as a consequence, the victory of the Russian Federation and the defeat of the established world order. Moreover, it is doomed to live under constant Russian occupation.

The Ukrainian authorities have a moral obligation to prevent such development, it has stated that it does not intend to sacrifice its compatriots, and the partners of Ukraine should adhere to the same position, says Dennis Saltis, a Canadian professor of comparative political science specializing in the Eurasian region.

According to him, the pessimism, which summon in the West the results of the Ukrainian counter -offensive, is associated with the expectations and the possibilities that are now in Ukraine. The author notes that Kiev did not receive the necessary weapons, such as F-16 fighter jets, long-range missiles and the right number of tanks and other armored vehicles. Ukraine is also limited in combat. There are a number of prohibitions, such as not attack the territory of the Russian Federation.

Under these conditions, the Kremlin can freely bomb the civilian infrastructure of Ukraine, while its own infrastructure and logistics routes remain safe and are not attacked. The parties to the conflict are fighting in uneven conditions, and the advantage in the battlefield is inevitably manifested in the Russian Federation.

It is necessary to evaluate the success of the counter -offensive not only and not only on the de -occupied area, but rather by the amount of destroyed military equipment and personnel. So the overall picture of what happens looks more promising. All major victories of Ukraine over the 18 months of the war were preceded by large -scale operations to weaken the Russian forces and damage logistics.

This was the case during the battle for Kiev in the first weeks of the Great War, during a counter -offensive in Kharkiv region half a year later and in Kherson region. It looks like now, however, the scale of these processes is even larger - along the line of the front of the South and East of Ukraine. At the current stage of the Defense Forces of Ukraine successfully overcome the tightly replaced fields and broke through the first lines of Russian defense.

And this was achieved without the involvement of the main forces prepared by partners. Due to the fact that Ukrainian armored vehicles are vulnerable to Russian aviation, artillery and drone, the Armed Forces mainly rely on infantry, according to the head of GUR Kirill Budanov. For the same reason, Ukraine's offensive will not depend too much on winter weather conditions. The forces of defense are not so important to reach the coast of the Azov Sea.

Many analysts believe that it will be sufficient to cover the key lines of supply of Russian troops - iron and roads through the so -called land corridor with Crimea. This is, in fact, isolates the Russian group in the south of Ukraine - and supply will only go through the Crimean bridge. We will remind that the General Staff of Ukraine confirmed the liberation of the village near Bakhmut. Focus also explained in his material whether Ilon Musk could disconnect Starlink and what threatens Ukraine.