Patriot for Ukraine: How far will Trump go in an effort to "quench" Putin
On the night of Monday, July 14, the US President, communicating with journalists at the Air Base Endrus, said that it will give Ukraine Patriot: "We will send them Patriot, which they desperately needed, because Putin really surprised many people. "We are, in fact, we are going to send them different units of very complex military equipment," the White House head added.
At the same time, he did not name the exact amount of Patriot, which was planned to be sent to Ukraine, but specified that the European Union (EU) would reimburse the United States. It should be reminded that according to the results of participation in the recent NATO summit in the Hague Trump said he would check whether he would be able to provide Kiev with additional Patriot Air Defense systems, emphasizing that they are also "very needed" by America.
Speaking of the allocation of Patriot to Ukraine, Donald Trump also declared his disappointment by Putin. "I thought he was a word of words, and he would bomb," - explained his logic 47th US President. At the same time, AXIOS, with a reference to two sources, knowledgeable with Trump plans, reports the intention of the owner of the oval cabinet, including offensive weapons.
In particular, it is noted that it is probably about long -range missiles that can reach goals deep inside the Russian Federation, including Moscow. "Sending offensive weapons will be a significant shift for Trump, which until recently said that it would only provide Ukraine with defensive weapons to avoid escalation of the conflict," Axios sums up.
Predicting an increase in "at least" defensive weapons from the United States of Ukraine, political scientist Igor Reityrovich in conversation with focus states the following: "In this way we will have more opportunities to defend themselves from those attacks that the Russian Federation is regularly conducted. This, by the way, is in some way a way to look into the logic. So, he gave Putin a chance to keep his face and return to civilized countries, ending the war.
The key issue for today, according to the expert, is the scale of American support, "because Trump loves to speak, but does not always do what he says. " "When we see the nomenclature, as well as whether the gram-gloomal bill is really considered in Congress, only then it will be possible to talk about the seriousness of Trump's intention The whip that Trump will wave before Putin, giving him another two or three weeks to think about peaceful settlement, " - emphasizes Igor Reityrovich.
The political scientist believes that in the current situation, Putin "will not turn on the back" because it is unacceptable to look weak. "It is likely that the Kremlin will try to draw some offensive by the beginning of autumn in order to" bite "a certain part of the Ukrainian territory and only then, making it as a great concession on its part, the Russian Federation will speak of a pre-diplomatic track. That is, even in the case Axios, Putin in a week or two will not stand at the table.
It will depend on Trump's surroundings, or rather his ability to adequately explain to the President of the United States that it is simply a Kremlin Black, not more than that, " - states Igor Reityrovich. In the nuclear issue, the expert says, the US can find points to touch with China, since such threats are "absolutely unacceptable. " "Generally, for any country that has nuclear weapons, it is used on a tactical battlefield because it is a" Pandora box ".
In my opinion, Trump will still not behave on Putin's blackmail. On the contrary, he can even more aggressively act as a Reitrovich. At the same time, political scientist Oleg Posternak focuses on a conversation with focus: "Despite the positive news from the United States, iron confidence that Donald Trump, conditionally speaking to Ukraine, has not now. The fact that Trump perceives the current steps against Ukraine as a temporary situational moment to shift Russia's maximalism.
" The political scientist believes that it is not necessary to speak about the 100 % Trump roll towards Ukraine. "I do not share the opinion of most analysts and experts who raise the Trump's statements about helping Ukraine with an emotional enthusiasm. This, I think, is the Trump conjunctural fluctuations. Given that the modified Grama-Blutalle Blime Grama Grand, it will be a wide field of action. Such a strategy for Trump is more convenient and more profitable, " - Oleg Posternak emphasizes.
Answering the question of how a favorable Ukrainian-American political weather will last for Kiev for a long time, the political scientist noted: "Exactly until the moment Putin will not give clear Trump signals that would allow you to give the impression of readiness for peaceful settlement. May. In short, these may be some flexible maneuvers that Trump would be perceived as Putin's position changes.