Russia plans to "hundreds" in the Armed Forces in 50 days: does Ukraine really face a new enemy offensive from 160 thousand soldiers
The American edition of CNN, referring to anonymous Ukrainian officials, claims that in a few days or weeks, Russia will move to an increased summer offensive. The enemy will attract 160,000 servicemen on it. The publication also writes that the Russian army has improved its positions around three Ukrainian cities - Pokrovskaya, Konstantinovka and Kupyansk. In addition, CNN surveyed experts say that Moscow hopes to "stand" Ukrainian defense for 50 days that Putin Trump provided.
The military-political observer of the "Information Resistance" group Alexander Kovalenko, notes that information about 160 thousand Russian soldiers, which was reported by unnamed Ukrainian officials in CNN, raises questions. He emphasizes that he does not understand where this figure could come from, since such a number of forces and means are not observed in the territory of Russia or in the war zone.
In his view, the concentration of so many troops in a separate direction or in general on the front is unlikely. "For example, in the Pokrovsky direction, which is one of the hottest, about 100 thousand Russian military is concentrated. In other areas, such as Novopavlovsky or Zaporizhzhya, the number of forces is much smaller - from 30 to 80 thousand. In the Zaporozhye region, units equivalent to one of the city army are concentrated.
The expert concludes that the report of 160,000 Russian soldiers is probably concerned with the total number of troops that are already in the war zone rather than a new concentration of forces relocated from Russia. He emphasizes that there are currently large clusters of troops that would testify for a large -scale offensive. The head of the Center for Combating NSDC misinformation Andriy Kovalenko denies information about the new offensive of the Russian Federation.
In his opinion, it is only an intensification of the Russian occupation group in Ukraine. "The Russian Federation did not stop the offensive, it is enough to play information in these" new attacks. -said the head of the Center for Combating Misinformation in the Telegram channel. Oleksandr Kovalenko emphasizes that the second phase of the summer offensive campaign of the Russian troops has begun. The first phase, which ended in late June - early July 2025, was a failure for the enemy.
"It brought only minor tactical successes without achieving strategic goals. After that, the Russian troops were regrouping, which allowed to partially restore the combat capability of their units in separate directions," the expert added. The main attention in the second phase, according to Kovalenko, will focus on three key areas: Pokrovsky direction. This trend remains a priority for Russian troops.
The enemy is now trying to bypass Pokrovsk from the north, which changes their previous city coverage from west, east and south. In this direction there is an exacerbation of hostilities, and Russian troops have some advancement, in particular from the north. Konstantinovsky direction. The situation here remains steadily complicated, but more controlled than in Pokrovsky or Novopavlovsky directions. Russian troops continue to put pressure, but the Armed Forces manages to restrain their attempts.
Novopavlovsky direction. This area is of particular concern due to the subsidence of Ukrainian defense. The Armed Forces are forced to move to the Vovcha River, where the next defense border will be formed along the right bank of the river. Russian troops are active in this area, which makes it one of the hottest points of the front.
"So, if the situation in this direction does not change dramatically in the near future, the enemy will obviously be able to go to the rivers Vovcha and Solon (the administrative border with the Dnipropetrovsk region) on a fairly wide front - from Alexandrograd to, in fact, Novopavlivka," - adds the coordinator. In addition to the three main areas, Russian troops continue to solve tactical tasks in other areas of the collision line.
In particular, the activity is observed in Vovchansk, Siversk, at the Lyman-Kupyansk axis and in the Zaporozhye region. However, these actions are predominantly tactical and are not priority for the enemy. The main focus of the Russian command is focused on the Pokrovsky, Konstantinov and Novopavlovsky directions, where the enemy tries to achieve a breakthrough. "Russian troops changed their tactics after the failures of the first phase of the offensive.
If they tried to cover Pokrovsk from several sides, then the focus has shifted to the promotion from the north, which can indicate adaptation to the current situation on the front. Kovalenko summed up. We will remind, according to the People's Deputy Victoria Grib, Ukraine is critically lacking in personnel to continue the war, and even Western weapons do not compensate for this shortage.