"Peace Party" or "Government in Exile." Why is Russia resuscitating Viktor Medvedchuk
Viktor Medvedchuk - a former MP, who recently lost not only the mandate but also the citizenship of Ukraine, for the first time after its exchange for Ukrainian prisoners of war, made a public statement. More precisely - Medvedchuk wrote an article published by the newspaper "Izvestia". In it the former leader of the forbidden parties "Opposition Bloc - in Ukraine" called the event the cause of war against Russia and threatened the use of nuclear weapons.
It is not necessary to be an expert to note: Medvedchuk's article is a repetition of narratives of the Kremlin. He says: Russia has interests, but the West does not take into account, does not want to end the war, and soon in Ukraine should be found forces that will advocate for the situation. "The Ukrainian" Party of Peace "was declared traitors, the authorities seized the" Party of War ". The conflict went on and became international.
The Ukrainian" Party of Peace "simply did not fit into Western democracy," the Exnaradep said. Medvedchuk calls the historical relations of Ukraine and Russia closer, "than the relations of England and Scotland", and recalls that the Ukrainian authorities since 2005 (ie after the Orange Revolution and the coming to power of the third President Viktor Yushchenko) "began to build anti -Russian policy at the level of state ideology ".
President Volodymyr Zelensky Exnart has accused the destruction of "any opposition", as well as in repression against politicians and journalists who "talked about peace and good neighborly relations with Russia. " At the same time, the material does not mention Russia's aggression, occupation and the main condition of peace - withdrawal of the Russian army from the territory of Ukraine. The former Ukrainian citizen does not mention about hundreds of thousands of dead and wounded civilians.
In March 2022, after a full -scale invasion of Russia in Ukraine, the SBU reported that she exposed the organizers of the "Federal Republic of Ukraine". They wanted to split the country and create a new "People's Republic", which would include Ivano-Frankivsk, Transcarpathian, Lviv, Ternopil and Chernivtsi regions. Huge Russian money was allocated for this, they claimed in the special service.
But even after the invasion, it turned out that the scheme did not work - the Russian army was not met with flowers not in the west of Ukraine, but also in the east and south. Putin thought that it was enough for him to seize power in Kiev, and in the regions there would be support. Viktor Medvedchuk was responsible for the "education" of loyal activists. It was he who received huge money to create a network of agents of influence.
Where Medvedchuk really spent money from 2014 to 2022 - became interested in the Kremlin. This story was mentioned after Medvedchuk's arrest and on the eve of its transfer to the Russian Federation on September 22 in exchange for the Ukrainian military (according to The Washington Post, President of Russia Vladimir Putin insisted on Medvedchuk).
At the same time, some experts suggested that Medvedchuk in Russia could be more dangerous than in Ukrainian prison - he is asked where billions of agitation and propaganda, and he will be oblivious to, as well as Viktor Yanukovych's fugitive. But after the pause, Medvedchuk wrote an article in "Izvestia". Perhaps as a leader of some new political movement, which, on behalf of Ukraine and in the eyes of the Russians, is ready to negotiate with Russia on peace on the Kremlin.
"It is an attempt at a traitor and a political scum to return to the information and political space," says the appearance of the article in the Russian newspaper political scientist Vladimir Fesenko. "He first works out his debts of Putin. exchange for betrayal. He received them before the Great War, but it is necessary to work out now. " Fesenko believes that Medvedchuk is now trying to get additional existence from Putin.
The expert notes that the information campaign did not turn out: "Article is proof that the Kremlin is inadequately representing moods in Ukraine. They cannot win Ukraine on the battlefield, so they try to weaken us information and politically, again to quarrel with each other.
But for This is used by rhetoric and arguments that did not work earlier (and until February 24, 2022, and immediately after direct Russian attack), and even more so they will not work now, today even a lot War and death come from Russia. " Political scientist Taras Chornovil said in a comment to focus that he first read the extracts from the article, thought that Russia was sending signals to Ukraine and the world by the mouth of Medvedchuk.
"But what signals can be about? - Chornovil's rhetorical question poses. - Medvedchuk no one to give any signals that someone can capture. It is impossible to transmit some signals in principle. There is not even a hint of any signals. It is an internal Russian history designed for a Russian inhabitant. The Russians constantly need to be laid in the brains that Russia wants peace, and against it was armed with the whole world.
All this garbage that they have in their heads, it must be fueled To prevent people from thinking about losses and loses, there is a pool of propagandists who engaged in it, but they were already overwhelmed in the Russian Federation. Therefore, they tried to introduce "fresh blood". This time Medvedchuk, before that Azarov, even earlier - Yanukovych.
As the propagandist Markov said They say, we realize that they gave shelter to Yanukovych, but why keep Azarov and other Padal, may give them to Ukraine and take something. Medvedchuk did not come from the reaction. Gih Markov said that Medvedchuk was not able to lead the pro -Russian movement in Ukraine because of huge anti -rating. I think he was pulled for the first time and last. They will look for someone new.
"Political technologist Viktor Bobirenko also says that Medvedchuk's message was not designed for Ukraine and Ukrainians. - But his message can be directed to the inhabitant in Europe, where more and more politicians who are in favor of rapid cessation of war, even at the cost of loss of part of the territory. The Russians sincerely think that the position of Ukraine and Europe can soon fall asleep and will have to accept the conditions of Russia.
” At the same time, in Russia itself, the opinion is that Medvedchuk should enter some "government in exile". The corresponding member of the Academy of Military Sciences of Russia Vladimir Kozin said this recently. "Azarov, Medvedchuk and Yanukovych have to form a government in exile from their citizens and not from the citizens of the Russian Federation. Ukraine, although leading a combined Ukrainian-Natny aggression against us, is a sovereign country.
It has its president, its judicial system, etc. The creation of such a government is clearly delayed, but it is better late than never, "Kozin said. In addition, it could be said that Medvedchuk's article is not just an attempt to return to the information field with their ideas, but an attempt to return to great politics. "But he still cannot understand that as a result of this war he has no future in Ukraine, neither political, nor personal, well, except for lattice in Ukrainian prison.
By the way, a court case against Medvedchuk for state betrayal is required To bring to a court sentence. This is a question of the principle, " - adds political scientist Fesenko. At the same time, the expert doubts that Medvedchuk is able to create some imaginary emigrant movement against Ukraine. He will only be able to compete with Yanukovych and "another gop-company of political fugitives. " It can be assumed that, speaking of a party of peace, the Russians can pursue two goals.
"On the one hand, they need to give at least a signal of the 7-8% of the population who are still openly talking about their pro -Russian moods and now looking for what they are relying on. On the other, it is the beginning of work to fill the Ukrainian information space with the words" peace " , "negotiations", "return to friendship" and so on, " - says Vadim Denysenko, Executive Director of the Ukrainian Institute of the Future.
Chornovil thinks that the most important thing Medvedchuk said in the article is the thesis about the "Peace Party. " "I think the Russians will be bid on it," he says. "The Kremlin will seek or have already found nominations These people may be in Ukraine. It will not think it will be conditional Elena Bondarenko (exnardepka, Viktor Yanukovych's associate - ed. ) or Anatoly Shariy (blogger, accused of Ukraine in the State Commission - Ed. ) .
Although the Russians are not large in this sense intellectuals, they cannot calculate what will work in Ukraine and what is not, so they play. Perhaps they will try those who are considered pro -Ukrainian. I will not be surprised if the topic of Arestovich goes. " In this case, Chornovil means Alexei Arestovich's statement that it was possible not a Russian rocket in the Dnieper's house, but a part of it after beating in Ukrainian air defense.
"His last name often appears in Russian media," Chornovil continues. "Arestovich made a statement about a downed missile. : "Advisor to the Presidential Office of Ukraine stated that Ukraine has shot down a rocket, Ukraine is guilty of tragedy in the Dnieper, and everything is not so unambiguous. " Chornovil: "Arestovich will really try to send it to Russian canned goods, but I am sure that he just made a mistake. And the reason for the mistake is his self -confidence and self -righteousness.