Trump will have his "Victory Plan": what scenario of end of the war shines Ukraine
Like the trend to reduce external assistance. Trump was generally spoken about this by a lot, and especially his Vice president, Jay Di Vance. By Trump, the way of maintaining this logic will be more eccentric and sharp. For Harris, this story would be delayed and would be more difficult. But to cross the "red lines" Americans would not in any case become, because they are not crazy and very accurately understand their interests. The question is only in the methods of achieving them.
Our mistake is to bet on the US election as a game-changer that is not really. The US strategic priorities lie not in nuclear war with Russia and not in the destruction of Russia into many states, but on deterioration and weakening of the Russian Federation through a managed conflict with the hope of normalizing relations in the long run as opposed to China. There is no "victory" in this frame that we see as the perfect scenario of end of the war.
Like Biden's administration, he did not believe in him, so the potential Trump administration will not believe him. It showed the last visit of President Zelensky to the United States. Accordingly, if we want an active role in the United States in the end of the war, we need to either persuade Trump to do everything we want, and radically change his perception of the situation, or present another plan by adjusting him to his interests and vision of conflict.
But it will no longer be our "victory formula", but some other compromise option. So exhale and do not sprinkle your head with ash. It will be fun (this is Trump), but in my opinion, strategically, Washington will not be 180 degrees. And the belief in the "purple rays" and the magical ways of the rapid and favorable end of the war will only increase disappointment and polarization in society. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.