Does the Russian Federation go into Kurakhovo? What is happening on this front area and what the enemy was intended
In parallel, attempts to break through the area of Ostrovsky do not stop. The military expert, the stock of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces Alexei Hetman noted that the H-15 Zaporozhye-Donetsk route is the main logistics route, on which everything that is needed by the defense forces that are in Kurakhovoy and near it. "If the enemy reserves it, then it will be necessary to bring everything necessary in other ways, say, on -road, fields.
This will greatly complicate logistics," the hetman said. The focus understood what was happening in the Kurakhovsky area and whether the situation on this area of the front could be improved. According to the deepstate co -founder Roman Pogorely, the Russians try to step in the direction of the settlements of Illinka and Brestry, which is a partial overlap of logistics and taking under the control of the northern part of the settlement.
The invaders are constantly featured in the areas of Novodmitrovka, Voznesenko, Novoselydivka and try to break through technique, infantry and fixed in plantings, want to take positions and press. "But more large -scale plans to them south, in the area of settlements Yasna Polyana, Maksimivka, Labor, where they have a line of combat collision. They are sent towards the highway of Zaporizhzhia - Donetsk.
Control, then they will take logistics, the main place of movement towards Kurakhov and from it, the city will be in a very critical situation, " - says Focus Pogorely. According to him, if in this case Ukrainian fighters can advance the route of Zaporozhye-Donetsk, then it will be a lottery, because at any time it can "fly". "It is dangerous, it complicates movement and situation.
As well as going out with any supply, so it will be very difficult to leave the city in a worsening situation and, of course, with losses, if you get to such a level," the analyst said. Military expert Pavel Narozhny noted that Kurakhov is part of a hostile offensive on Pokrovsk. In particular, it is one section of the front of Pokrovsk - Kurakhovo - Selidovo. "We now have no advantage over the enemy in this area of the front.
The enemy, after he passed the village, obvious direction of movement is a curakhov in order to build a bridgehead and continue to move to Pokrovsk. And now the advantage and initiative on the side of the enemy ", - says the focus of the People. According to him, first of all, it happened because of a lack of people and ammunition at the front, the advantage of the enemy in the air, the use of cabins.
The expert noted that now the hottest direction on the front is Pokrovsky, while in the area of Pokrovsk and Kurakhov there are about 60% of all combatants, in the second place - the Lyman direction, where up to 60 battles reaches a day. While the situation is calmer in all other areas of the front. He stressed that in the Pokrovsky direction the enemy concentrated all its capable units, while in other areas of the front there is a shortage of people.
According to the Ukrainian military from the 25th ODBR with the call sign "Muzy", the greater activity of the enemy is concentrated on the flank from Kurakhov. "Now the Russian Russians do not go, try in small groups to be subjected, but not enough. So the enemy decided to squeeze out of the birch area, where he has already mastered the hill, then there is iron. It will come out on the old thorns, which are northwestern from the city, "said the focus" Mushnay ".
As a result, the northern flank will be under the firing of the enemy. It will be very dangerous in the city as artillery will work tightly. Also, the enemy is attacking the farm farm, which is located to the north of the Kurakhov. According to the serviceman, the purpose of the Russians is to cut the route of the Association - Kurakhov and bypass the flank, thereby striking from the south and north.
"The city will be shot on both sides while our Cossacks are holding on, but they will certainly have to depart," he said. Military expert, director of the New Geopolitics Research Network platform, Michael Samus, said Focus that he did not see the reasons to talk about Kurakhov's surroundings, but if the opponent breaks through the front, it will no longer be an environment. However, the obstacle to the enemy is created by the river dry spruce.
"There are dry fir - a river that creates quite good defensive opportunities if the Russians come from south to north. In the north, indeed, they can occupy a reservoir in the birch area, old Tern, where the Vovcha River. But that does not mean that Kurakhov The enemy will still have to work with water obstacles, which is usually not very simple, "Samus said.
According to him, for the environment of the settlement of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation it is necessary to conduct a "enough powerful operation". In particular, the enemy comes from Yasna Polyana towards Konstantinopol and Andreevka. So he wants to get around the Suki Yar River, but whether he can do it depends only on the Armed Forces. In the case of seizure of Kurakhov, the enemy will probably go to Pokrovsk, and the pressure of the enemy on Mirnograd is also possible.
According to Roman Pogorely, the enemy can go further and go to the rear of the Great Novosilka. As a result, the southern part of the Donbass, where the line of combat collision now passes, can go into the hands of the enemy, and he will move on. But in the opinion of "flour", in the case of capture of the city, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not go to Pokrovsk.
After all, for this hostile group there is no such task, instead the Russians want to reach the borders of Donetsk region. And other groups are responsible for Pokrovsk agglomeration. Pokrovsk can go to those who press from the cherry west of Selidov, and those who cannot punch Ukrainian defense, where there are 25 OpDBRs, west of Novogrodivka and Lisivka. The novel Pogorely is convinced that it is possible to improve the situation in the Kurakhov area if the forces of defense restrain the enemy.
The analyst said that "lies of everyone would destroy. " In particular, if the true situation in the field does not fit the one that comes in the reports and the command will not understand the real resource of the units that the strengthening units, to keep positions at the moment when there are no people, then the situation will not improve exactly. He stressed that this is not the main problem, but is part of all that have consequences.
Michael Samus is convinced that in order to improve the situation in the area of Kurakhov's Ukrainian army requires long-range means for F-16 aircraft, which will knock the Russian Su-34. While the mobilization of a million people, in his opinion, will not give any effect, because it requires means, combat capabilities that will allow to stop the offensive of the Armed Forces throughout the front.
Pavel Narozhny emphasized that the mass use of the enemy of the booth carries out Ukrainian defense, so urgently needed means of beating their carriers. You can also improve the situation if you increase the number of mobilized people, improve their preparation in training centers.
In addition, we should not forget about the artillery capabilities of the enemy - the Russians keep a high rate in the amount of shots, and they move, because they destroy absolutely everything can reach - all houses, fortifications. The expert believes that Ukrainians need to respond to such actions of the Russians, so a large number of shells and artillery installations are needed. However, allies do not supply such weapons very quickly. Whereas you will not stop the artillery infantry.
"Now there is a difficult situation, but there is no collapse of the front, uncontrolled retreat, etc. Yes, we lose the territory, but this happens in a controlled format, say so," - summed up the people. Instead, "Mushni" believes that in the area of Kurakhov it will not work to improve the situation, because the front here fails. "Every day, the enemy increases attacks and tries to move 1-2 kilometers forward, especially in the south," he said.
We will remind, on November 6 the head of the communications department of the 46 separate airmobile brigade of the State Emergency Service of the Armed Forces Alexander Unknown reported that in the area of responsibility 46 UAEMBR in the Kurakhiv direction of the enemy has not managed to capture new positions, but constant attempts are continued. On the same day, DeepState analysts said that the Russians went further west of Kurakhov.