They are afraid of conflict: the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation will not be able to make a full blockade of Ukraine - ISW

According to analysts, the Kremlin decided to create conditions for a search of civilian and commercial vessels to obtain additional levers of influence. The Russian Navy increases the military presence in the Black Sea, but it will not be able to completely block the ports of Ukraine. Analysts from the American Institute for War Study (ISW) have stated this. The new report of July 26 states that Russian forces are preparing ships in the Black Sea to "provide a blockade of Ukraine".

Thus, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation increase the level of combat readiness of surface forces and maritime aviation. However, the Black Sea Fleet is unlikely to block Ukrainian ports completely "complete Russian blockade in the Black Sea will mean that Russian forces will be able to fire on all vessels that are trying to reach Ukraine.

It is unlikely that Russia will try to introduce such a complete blockade in order not to provoke a military conflict with coastal conflict The Black Sea countries, including NATO, Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey, which the Kremlin still tried to avoid, "the report says. According to analysts, Russian actions in the Black Sea indicate that the Kremlin has decided to create conditions for a search of civil and commercial vessels to obtain additional levers of influence.

It should be noted that the British intelligence stated that the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation prepared for blockade and the interception of ships. A group of Russian ships, which can also include the latest corvette "Sergei Kotov" will patrol and, if necessary, intercepts civilian vessels on the way from the Bosphorus to Odessa. We will remind that the media reported that China is ready to buy stolen Ukrainian grain for nothing in Russia.