What to expect Ukraine from 2024? Basic scenario of future events of the Russo-Ukrainian War

"The supply of military assistance from the US, as well as shells from the EU (the first 180,000 shells should come in June) have appetites to capture almost all the Left Bank of Ukraine. " Maxim Yali thought why the offensive of the Russian Federation would not be successful and when the situation would turn to Ukraine. 2024 will be for the Russian Federation about the same as for Ukraine 2023.

It is obvious that an offensive operation is being prepared and reserves in border areas with Ukraine are generated. But the declared ambitions are much higher than the results will eventually be. The moods of the racists are close to the moods of Ukrainians of the age of age after the success of the offensive operations of the fall of 2022.

But the supply of military assistance from the United States, as well as shells from the EU (the first 180,000 shells should come in June) have these appetites for the capture of almost all the Left Bank of Ukraine. Like tremendous losses in the live strength, which have been experienced by the last months.

Human resource in the Russian Federation, although much higher than in Ukraine, but the number of those who are ready to die for money (about the myths of the "Nazis" and not speak) are still limited. And as soon as military assistance reaches the front line, the situation will start slowly, but change. Putin and Ko are well aware that the window is closed.

And that they will have time to "bite", flooding the corpses and completely destroying the Ukrainian cities and villages this year, there will be a line of demarcation. The task of the maximum, based on these components, in my opinion - entry into the administrative borders of Donetsk region. But given how long they took Bakhmut, Avdiivka or completely surrounded by Mariupol, they will not be able to achieve these goals as a result of the summer-autumn offensive. And then windows will appear.

With more likely, the results of the US presidential election. But the main events, as in 2023, will take place this summer. If, conditionally, the 2023th became a year of disappointment after the expectations of the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces, then in 2024 the same thing should happen to the Russian Federation. This is how the main narrative of the event "not to allow Ukraine to lose the war of the Russian Federation" should be understood. Stand.

Keep statehood and control over territories. Further, I most likely seem to see a "Korean script". Neither peace nor war. With the military contingent of our European allies on the line of demarcation. This scenario is now actively lobby Macron. At first, everyone will declare that NATO troops will not be in Ukraine.