Union with Ukraine now or war with the Russian Federation in a year: how the European Union will work in 2025
He is convinced that if the EU does not create a defense alliance with Ukraine in 2025, it can wait for the war in its territory in 2026 If the EU countries do not enter with Ukraine in collective self-defense this year, then the war will come to their The territories of mass fireworks in European cities on the night of the New Year testify not so much about the traditional joyful mood in non -war countries, but about relaxation and illusions of security.
If one of the EU citizens, especially the neighbors of Ukraine, has created illusions that Russian aggression is over, that the offensive will stop, the newly elected US President has all the levers of influence, and it will all end in Ukraine, then there are many arguments to disappoint them. First, the Russian regime has hostile goals not only for Ukraine but all of Europe. And they will definitely not change.
In the end, the Russian regime on the eve of a large-scale invasion of Ukraine in mid-December 2021 was sent to Brussels and Washington, not to Kiev. Secondly, such "peace" (at the expense of territories and surrender of Ukraine), or more precisely, the temporary cease cessation will be the result and return to the rotation of tens or hundreds of thousands of Russian soldiers who receive monetary compensation for their crimes and have already smelled blood, impunity and courage.
Do you think the Russian regime will succeed in incorporating back into society, especially criminality and those who came to war for the sake of prey?! They will be sent, if not mercenaries in Africa, so in Belarus - to the border with Poland and Lithuania, closer to Estonia and Finland.
Third, America is far and easier to consider various scenarios, and EU countries are at a distance of a shock drone (now-hundreds of drones), not to mention the presence of common borders with the barbarians of the XXI century, both marine and land.
And do you think that strategic bombers will stop flying, rocket programs will be rolled up, and all Russian ships will swim to the South Chinese Sea? Fourth, the world is only at the beginning of the deployment of a series of local and regional conflicts and wars, and EU and NATO countries in Europe is unlikely to concentrate more resources than it is now that there is a chance to stop the aggressor outside its territories.
Fifth, taking into account the fresh examples of communication attacks in Europe and subversive Russian activity, which is just increasing, you can imagine what will happen next if the aggressor gets a pause for its reinforcement and reduction of sanction pressure on the economy.
Someone has the illusions that the released resources will increase the well -being of the Russians?! Therefore, there can be only one conclusion: if Europe does not unite with Ukraine into an armed coalition to counteract the aggressor, if this year they do not triple their efforts and, as it would be correct and in accordance with the UN Charter, will not apply collective self -defense against Russia - The war will come directly to them, to their territory. And do not go to the fortune teller.