On the hand of Ukraine. How to hit Putin and the Kremlin of History with Nadezhdin and Navalny

Putin's attempts to strangle any dissent in Russia play in Ukraine, a public figure Nikita Solovyov is confident. It may be the death of Navalny and made the Kremlin system firmer - but at the same time it became more fragile. The removal of Nadezhdin and the death of Navalny - the links of one chain. And the track is very important for us. All autocrats are rating drugs. With full control and predictability of elections, it is very important to create the visibility of conditionally free voting.

And at the same time - to obtain support (not painted or close to) 80+%. This gives every reason to state: "Well, maybe there were violations, but you see, giant giant, apparently, still won. " That is, "elections" is still extremely important for autocractions with a ritual confirmation of legitimacy. And if you look at the story, a noticeable violation of this ritual has almost always led to the fall of autocractions or their transformation into a rigid dictatorship.

Both for internal consumption and external observers of Putin it is as important to show in the nearest "elections" the inviolability of his position. Three conditions are required: then the status of the "father of the nation" was demonstrated brilliantly. And their subjects, they say, have nothing to twist. And, more importantly, all external players as a marker of inviolability and non -alternative Putin as an autocrat of Russia.

I think it would be in the favor of Surkov, that is how everything was played. Even the esters were thrown away. And if they did not release, then the dust would be blown away from it and give the maximum opportunities for correspondence with will, calls, etc. But, fortunately, it is not. Frightened by the Belarusian scenario, Putin goes as hard and blunt as possible before the election. There will be the most possible, almost KNDRIVSKO-CADYROVSKY.

But with such a clear field clearing and almost certain phenomenal records, the result will be reverse to the desired. The hardness of the system may increase short -term. But its fragility will increase. In addition, Navalny was perhaps the last at least a slightly known and popular potential "heir". Now I do not see anyone at all, who can be seriously talking about the PRM (beautiful Russia of the future - F. ) after Putin. So the news is good for us.