Putin's blackmail by nuclear weapons: the Armed Forces left without ATACMS and F-16 before the onset of the Russian Federation, which is afraid of the event
Western allies of Ukraine made mistakes because they did not deliver modern military technologies in time. The situation before the projected summer counter -offensive of the Russian troops "gloomy": the Armed Forces does not have enough effective weapons, which could compensate for the quantitative advantage of the Russian Federation, told the publication of Politico high -ranking Ukrainian military, who served under the command of General Valery Zaluzhny.
Hope only for the sustainability of the Ukrainian military and miscalculations of Russian commanders. An example of a clear mistake of the Russian publication gives an example of a failed tank breakthrough near Avdiivka on March 30, 2024. The attack was called one of the largest from the beginning of a full -scale invasion of Russia. The forces of the 25th Separate Sicheslav Airborne Brigade of the Armed Forces stopped a breakthrough of about 50 pieces of equipment.
Ukrainian officers believe that to rely on Russia's mistakes is an indicator of a lack of strategy. Zaluzhny called it "a war of one chance," says Politico. The Armed Forces successfully used the winged Storm Shadow missiles, but these were combat episodes, not the systematic destruction of Russian goals. In the face of missile scarcity, it is difficult to carry out quality combat operations. Another example of partners' indecision is the story with F-16 fighters, which remained in the project.
"Every weapon has its time. The F-16 was needed in 2023, and in 2024 they have passed. Russia is ready to resist them," one of the military officials said. For the last few months the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces have launched rockets without explosive warheads from Dzhankoy.
At first, no one understood why they were doing it, but the secret was solved: so determines the flight of the missile missiles C-400 to maximize the protection of the protection from Western aircraft, the military explained. The main secret to the use of new weapons on the battlefield is the effect of surprise. As soon as the Armed Forces received American winged bombs Glsdb, Russia found a way to counteract.
In the winged bombs, the coordinates of the target point, and the Russians oppress them with radio electronic struggle (EIT), explains the focus of the leading researcher of the State Museum of Aviation of Ukraine, aircraft Valery Romanenko. Significant investments in the production of RBS systems allowed the Russians to change the trajectories of the Himars -controlled guided rockets and Excalibur artillery shells.
The Russian pole-21 suppression system overlaps the area within 150 kilometers, reported in January 2024 by the Financial Times newspaper. "Russia, unlike Europeans, adapts to the realities of war. The director is waiting for prison, " - adds Romanenko. Anti -tank missiles derived from the United Kingdom and the US in the first weeks of the invasion came on time and helped save Kiev.
The Himars rocket launchers were then, which showed themselves during the displacement of Russia from Kherson in November 2022. "Often we simply do not get weapons when we need. Now the front needs more traditional weapons - howitzers, about 4 million shells and 2 million drones," Politico said one of the officials. In addition to the aircraft, it was long to wait for the advanced air defense installations.
And the transfer of ATACMS missiles, according to US officials of NBC News, is only at the process of processing. The result of the delay is as follows: there was a high risk of collapse of the front line where Russian generals will want to focus the offensive. Due to its numerical advantage and managed airbams, Russia can do so, the attack is waiting until August 2024.
According to a military expert, the Colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Petro Chernyk, if the Armed Forces received 180 F-16 aircraft with rocket and 100 ATACMS missiles, they would easily be released to the Northern Azov and the borders before the invasion of February 22, 2022. The problem is that Russian President Vladimir Putin is actually blackmailing nuclear weapons. "No one knows when it is bluffing and when it is on the verge of making a decision.
The second point - Ukraine wins war, Russian Federation with 90% probability is decomposed. The problem of Siberia - 13 million square kilometers of territories, where 40% of all world oil resources are concentrated , gas, forest, non -ferrous metals, precious stones and more. Chernik added that the United States has enough modern weapons. F-16 fighters produced 4,500 pieces, in working condition-more than 3 thousand. ATCMS missiles in warehouses - up to 4,000 pieces.
"When a person is driven into a corner and the defeat in Ukraine will look like, Putin will be on the verge of destruction, and the nuclear button is the only guarantor of his survival," the analyst said. The thesis about the lack of shells, artillery, ammunition and other weapons is not new. It was recently voiced by President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy in an interview with CBS News.
The forces of defense keep the invaders' onslaught, but it will be extremely difficult to resist the summer large offensive at the end of May or June, says the veteran of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the reserve major Alexei Hetman. "British and American intelligence has repeatedly warned about the problem of weapons, there are no secrets here. We may not withstand a big offensive without the appropriate volume of weapons and the number of mobilized.
Let's calculate: by June 1, Russia mobilizes 300,000 people. military equipment, shells and live power. The expert asks. The event should accelerate military deliveries, otherwise the Armed Forces will have to retreat, but not to capitulate. The loss of territories is possible, but the war will continue. Hetman reminds that some partners of Ukraine promise to help troops. French President Emmanuel Macron said the first, but until no French military went to fight.
US President Joe Biden doubted the change of military strategy and participation of France, fearing escalation. The White House is concerned about the consequences of Russian strikes on the French contingent and involving the war of other countries, the newspaper The Wall Street Journal wrote. Scholz also opposed Macron's ideas: this will separate the allies and make NATO side of conflict.
The United Kingdom distanced from plans to send the military to Ukraine, Sky News spokesman Richa Snak said Sky News. "In addition to a small number of staff in Ukraine to support the Armed Forces, we have no plans for large -scale deployment," the speaker of the head of government said. Focus wrote earlier that the city of Yar in Donetsk region became the purpose for Russia's troops after the capture of Avdiivka.