Allies of Ukraine believe that the Armed Forces will hold a counter -offensive next year - Bloomberg

The event is already planning a script of intense battles a year. The most realistic scenario is the promotion of the Ukrainian army on the front for 30 kilometers. Some of the European allies of Ukraine believes that its army will not make a decisive breakthrough by the end of this year. This is written on April 14 by Bloomberg with reference to Western officials. According to them, the Russian military managed to build an effective defense system.

The invaders are preparing to continue the fighting by 2024. "The mood among Western officials is very different from what was at the end of last year, when Kiev surprised the Allies and Russia with successful counter -offensives," journalists said. Kyiv Allies restrain the expectations and consider the intensive battle scenario by 2024, in the EU doubts that in 2023 the Armed Forces will hold a successful counter -offensive on Melitopol, sources say.

The liberation of Melitopol would allow to split the groups of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the south of Ukraine. The interlocutors are convinced that the most realistic may be a scenario, which will move 30 kilometers on the front line. Then Russian supply lines will be within the reach of the Armed Forces artillery, this will create the conditions for a deep offensive in 2024, informed persons.

To implement these plans, Western allies will have to increase production facilities and support of the Armed Forces, one of the officials added. "Even a less ambitious jerk will cost thousands of lives, a large number of ammunition and equipment. The Russians have built multi -level defense in the form of mine fields, moats and concrete anti -tank pyramids in the winter," Bloomberg writes.

Issues are also caused by problems with the formation and training of the military for the counter -offensive, as well as a low stock of air defense missiles. Pentagon's head Lloyd Austin denied pessimistic grades this week - Washington will help Kiev to hold a counter -offensive, he promised. Representatives of the ministries of several European countries believe that the counter -offensive of the Ukrainian army will begin in mid -May.

It will take place in several directions, including false maneuvers. Ukrainian analysts are convinced of the later start of the counter -offensive - it will happen when new troops and equipment are integrating with each other, writes Bloomberg. Allies are already developing new military supply plans, as a large offensive will require the supply of weapons, ammunition and other means. "None of the armies is no longer the one that was before.

The war for depletion will cost both parties," said Dara Massicot, a specialist in the Russian armed forces at the US Analytical Center. The United States and other governments still underestimated Ukraine's opportunities - Washington emphasized at the beginning of a full -scale war that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation could capture Kiev for 72 hours, reminded the agency.

"Last summer, just before the Ukrainian breakthroughs, the pathogen was predicted and this trend seems to be repeated again. If Ukraine will end the air defense and it will hit Russia's Air Force, it will become our nightmare," experts surveyed by the agency surveyed. We will remind that on April 14 on social networks noticed how the Russian military move Soviet anti-tank guns MT-12 to the west of Crimea. This weapon may be used to defense the west coast.