A pro -Russian military coup in Niger put in a dead end of the country of the West

The term of the ultimatum nominated by Niger's military junta has expired the term of the ultimatum, nominated by Western Africa by military junta Niger. The invasion did not happen. Again, everyone returned to persuasion and diplomacy. The whole week in Africa continued debate on the feasibility of military intervention, resources for its implementation and possible consequences for regional security.

As a result, only three countries clearly stated the desire to participate in a military operation against Niger: Cat D'IVAR, Senegal and Nigeria. Others opposed intervention or have taken neutrality, including weightlifts such as Algeria, Chad and Mauritania. In addition, Nigeria has a split about Niger's intervention. The President of Bola Tinubo advocated the Nigerian army in surgery, and she had to become the main strike force of the coalition.

But the Muslim north of the country opposed, and the Senate did not give it good, fearing the destabilization of Nigeria itself, where the same hayus people live as in the neighboring Niger, and they do not want to fight against their tribesmen. France has the opportunity to attract its military, but in no hurry and does not want to do it on their own. They need reliance on regional allies and ideally support the US. But Washington also has no confidence yet.

Today, Victoria Nutland flew to Niger for talks with the junta, trying to break everything peacefully. Obviously, no one wants to fight, and the bet is high. The United States does not want to take Russia's initiative, to which the Nigerian junta has already sought help against the backdrop of ultimatum of France and the economic community of Western Africa (Ekocoas).

On August 10, an extraordinary ekovas meeting will be summed up again, deciding what to do with the niger, and whether to leave the power option as the main one. On the one hand, negotiations with the junta threaten its legitimization, which will be a bad example for other military in Africa, and will allow Niger's military to remain in the political system, which will make it impossible for France to return there, and open the way for Russia and the Wagner.

On the other hand, the invasion may not be planned and emerged into a regional war that destabilizes neighboring countries with unpredictable consequences, and the main winners will be the Islamic extremist group of Sachel, the fight against which is under threat through Misafrican "showdowns". Not to mention the waves of refugees to Europe. On Thursday, the day will be important to understand the situation.