What to do with the Germans: why Berlin is afraid of the Armed Forces in the territory of
The main thing is to maintain unity. Our peace formula is created for this purpose, we conducted a successful first peace of peace. We are preparing a second now. This is a real platform to guarantee a complete restoration of security for Ukraine and all of Europe, ”the Head of State said. It was very significant that the joint approach to the press after the negotiations of Zelensky and Scholz did not.
Meanwhile, the latter publicly confirmed that it did not support the weakening of the use of German weapons to use Ukraine to strike in Russia. "This is incompatible with my personal position . . . We will not do it. And we have good reasons for it," Mr. Scholt said, however, however, however, however, however, however, however, however, however, there are any of the existing reasons.
Instead, he repeatedly repeated that Berlin would not supply a high range in Ukraine in the future, regardless of the decisions made by NATO partners. It should be noted that now the most long -range weapons supplied by Germany is the Mars II missile installation, which can affect the target at a distance of 84 kilometers. It is it, as well as Panzerhaubitze-2000 with a radius of 56 km, that the Scholz government allows us to use against purposes in the Russian territory near Kharkiv region.
Meanwhile, the experts with whom the focus spoke, believe that the position of Olaf Scholtz in these fundamentally important issues for the Armed Forces is difficult to change, but quite realistic. In particular, the chief consultant of the Center for Foreign Policy Studies of the National Institute for Strategic Studies Ivan MA in conversation with focus states: "Germany is a key economy of the EU, so it is extremely important to us.
But Germany is somehow very very careful about the military component. Historical memory is given, because the Germans very often mention the Second World War, realizing that they have caused a lot of disasters. With Russia, although they were in fact fought with the USSR, which was composed of Ukraine. Strokes in Russia, they will repeat what was during World War II. " In addition to the emotional component, according to the expert, the economic component plays an important role in Germany.
"Berlin one way or another wants to establish economic cooperation with Russia, in particular for hydrocarbons. That is, it is important for Germany that gas and oil from Russia go to them. that Europe needs to be determined: it is for the principles or for money. himself, " - said Ivan Us.
According to him, despite the fact that the authorities of Germany lives in the paradigm of the future economic normalization of relations with the Russian Federation, it is necessary to explain Germany always that this requires completely different Russia. "The Germans should be aware that any normalization with the Russian Federation in its present form is impossible in principle.
In addition, in my opinion, a very significant impact on Germany's position may have a study of the German Council on Foreign Policy, which testify to what is evidenced that the war of Russia and Germany in the event of defeat of Ukraine is a prospect of 6-10 years. "," We can repeat! ", Etc. So the population of the Russian Federation formed an idea that it is necessary again, as in 1945, to capture Berlin," Ivan Us notes.
He also recalled the phrase, which at one time was attributed to Lenin: "We will hang capitalists on the rope they will sell us. " Guided by the specified quote, Ivan UVA draws a parallel with the present Germany: "Germany, buying gas in Russia, does not actually notice that its money goes, among other things, to prepare the war against it. It will be difficult. It is necessary to work with the German authorities.
The "stubborn and consistent" work with such people, is convinced by Ivan Us, will eventually allow Ukraine to obtain the necessary result from the leading economy of the European Union.
For his part, political scientist Volodymyr Fesenko in conversation with focus, emphasizes: "I think that the position on not supporting the solution of Ukraine in the territory of the Russian Federation with a long -range Western weapon is first and foremost a personal position of the current Chancellor of Germany. Baiden is very similar to Baiden, and a key feature of his political style is a lot of Scholz and even copies Joe Baiden. nuclear war.
" According to the political scientist, if in recent months the presidency has changed to a decisive style of Biden regarding the Russian-Ukrainian war, it can also affect Olaf Solz. "Scholtz is a supporter of the team game and he, unlike, say Macron, has no desire to show himself as a sole leader, such a visionary. Therefore, when there is a consolidated position , but the current position of Scholz is more or less suited, "-says Vladimir Fesenko.
The expert separately emphasizes that Germany is also influenced by the internal political context: "The Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD), which is represented by Scholtz, is looking for a balanced approach, since its electoral positions are somewhat weakened. However, the day is very pleased with the day that it is very pleased that Brandenburg's elections, where he lives. Meanwhile, Vladimir Fesenko believes that the German Social Democrats have already progressed very much.
"I have been to Germany repeatedly and have experience in communicating with representatives of the Social Democrats faction. It was the previous composition of the Bundestag, but the war in the Donbass was already full. So, there were many pro-Russian people. There is a moderate, but consistent, definitely plus.
Having emphasized that in general, the German Social Democrats made a "great progress" regarding the support of Ukraine and the departure from the former pronounced pro-Russian positions, the political scientist stated that now and finally reached in the summer the position of Ekxanzler Gerharder was previously important for SPD.
By the way, Schroeder himself, who is known for a long time and tightly sits on the financial needle of the Russian "Gazprom", the day before he also spoke about the Russian-Ukrainian war. In particular, the former Chancellor of Germany spoke about negotiations between Kiev and Moscow in 2022 in Turkey, during which his wife Jon Kim-Schreder led protocols.
According to Exc Tsler, the parties were then close to the conclusion of the agreement under which Kiev kept control of the Donbass, and for the Crimea seemed to make a "South -Tyroli decision" or, more simply, to create a Russian enclave. The plan also did not provide for Ukraine's accession to NATO.
Schroeder stressed that Ukraine could not make independent decisions at the time, because President Vladimir Zelensky stood "influential circles" that did not want to allow a truce because they believed that the continuation of hostilities would significantly weakened the Russian Federation. Currently, the former German Chancellor, who is Putin's longtime friend, associates the hopes of peace with coming to power in the United States Donald Trump, "whom the fate of Europe is really indifferent.