They do not want to go from Crimea and Donbass: as in the Russian Federation they see the end of the war with Ukraine - the media
The director of the Eurasia Program at the Kuevsa Responsible Public Administration, Anatoly Liven spoke with Russian officials and former diplomats, members of political centers, as well as with scientists and businessmen to find out how they see the end of the war in Ukraine. The material states that some of them are in the war before the victorious end against Ukraine, including the occupation of new regions, as well as the creation of a puppet government in Kiev.
Most of them want a ceasefire on the current collision line. They are convinced that Ukraine will never be able to regain occupied Russian occupied territory. It is reported that the success of Ukraine in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation has not changed the main Russian calculations and views on the termination of the war. At least because the Armed Forces continue offensive in the Donbass.
According to one of the Russian safety experts, a breakthrough in the Kursk region can help Ukraine eventually get more favorable conditions in the negotiations, but "it is not like a real victory. " "Sooner or later, they will have to leave the Kursk region, but we will never leave Crimea and Donbass," he said.
In addition, Liven's interlocutors believe that any countryside areas in Kharkiv region, which can be captured, should be considered not as "prizes" but as objects of bargaining in future negotiations. They are convinced that the creation of an army for "complete victory" will require a new large -scale mobilization, which will lead to resistance among the Russians.
At the same time, it is reported that the idea of NATO attack was also rejected by interlocutors with a mockery, because it is too dangerous. Constant threats are a way of not allowing the alliance to intervene in the war on the side of Ukraine directly. The article states that the Russian elites do not want to remove troops from the annexed territories, which were introduced into the Constitution of the Russian Federation.
However, they are ready to exchange other occupied regions for some "demilitarization". This will allegedly help to "guarantee" the ceasefire, as well as give President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin to claim that security near the Russian borders is ensured. In addition, Russian elites consider Ukraine neutrality necessary. Moscow also plans to strive for a "friendly" government in Kiev.
Liven noted that the position of the Russian Federation in the negotiations will be determined by the head of the Kremlin Vladimir Putin. And what he thinks - no one knows exactly. Earlier, military expert Volodymyr Fesenko called two conditions for peace talks with the Russian Federation. He noted that the US President's election and stabilization of the military situation should wait.