The Russian Federation wants to collect 50,000 drones, but it will not work - the expert named the reasons

Since the attack on Ukraine, Russia has lost more than 4. 5 thousand drones of all kinds, and it is very difficult to fill them. In Russia, the crisis of drone production is approaching, as the Ukrainian air defense forces will be raising more drones. This is what Pavel Luzin, an invited researcher at the School of Law and Diplomacy of the Fletcher Taffs University, who published an analytical article on this topic on the website of the Jametan Foundation on September 14.

According to the author, from the end of February and early September this year, Russia has lost about 300 reconnaissance drones in Ukraine, and in total, from the beginning of the attack on Ukraine, the Armed Forces of Ukraine has shot 4650 Russian UAVs, including the most dangerous drones-Kamikadze "Lancet" and Shahd.

He believes that the official statistics of the Armed Forces General Staff on the whipped UAV of the invaders may be low, because no one knows how many devices have lost in the occupied territories of Ukraine. It is also unclear how many commercial copters such as DJI Mavic and others have been lost. These drones were mostly supplied by Russian regional administrations and Russian volunteers.

On the eve of a full -scale invasion of Ukraine, the Russian soldiers had more than 2000 UAVs, not taking into account barrading ammunition, indicating significant losses of reconnaissance and combat drones. The Russian Government in the summer approved the "Strategy for Development of Unmanned Aviation by 2030". The document outlines the basic scenario of future development and production of the Russian industry of drones.

It provides for the need for 330 thousand employees, by 2026 and 1 million by 2030. During this time it is planned to create 52 100 drones. Pavel Luzin believes that the predicted figures for the workers of the drone industry are quite unrealistic, as is the rate of production. There is a shortage of adequate financial sources, technologies, equipment and human capital in Moscow in Moscow is unlikely to make this plan, the expert says.

For example, serial production of drone C-70 "Hunter" was scheduled for 2023, but now postponed by 2025. The main problem is the absence of sufficient engines, since the initial plan was based on the use of Red A03 diesel engines. The same problem is also relevant for the Orion reconnaissance and fighting drone. The Central Institute of Aviation Motor Building in Moscow is trying to develop the ADP-100/120 piston engine, which should replace Rotax 914 of Austrian production.

However, the dry mass of APD-100/120 is 96 kilograms against 74. 7 kilograms in Rotax 914 with all its support systems. Moreover, 50 main components of the fuel system ADD-100/120 are still supplied from abroad. The expert concludes that in the coming years the turbulence in the Russian industry of drones will be preserved, and it may be intensified. Moscow will become more difficult to solve all the issues related to the production of drones, especially in the military sphere.