"Artillery will not replace": The expert told how the Armed Forces can compensate for the shock potential
According to him, the lack of ammunition leads to the termination of certain operations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since the Russian side has a significant advantage in the number of shells. The event did not envisage such intensive use of artillery by Russia. Yes, he noted that in the summer of 2022 the invaders exhibited such ramparts within 45 - 80 thousand a day. Currently, this shaft has declined significantly and is within 30,000 a day.
However, in ammunition reserves and, more importantly, Russia remains the leader in the world in production volumes. Monthly, Russian enterprises produce from 125 to 130 thousand shells, and annually - from 1. 5 to 1. 7 million. It is possible to increase this volume to 2 million. "At the same time, in the United States, at the beginning of the war, 155 mm projectiles were produced in the amount of 13-14 thousand a month. Only in the fall of 2023 they reached 50 thousand.
At best, in 2025, 80 thousand per month will be produced in 2025," the military expert said. After the Second World War, the United States focused on the development of shock aircraft and related missile technologies. To compensate for this gap, it is proposed to use the FPV-class shock drones that can act as a kamikadze. However, according to the expert, it is wrong and even harmful to believe that drones can completely replace artillery.
Drones are prone to failures and can be destroyed or disabled by means of electronic warfare or other means. "At the same time, an artillery volley is both at distant distances and close (mortar) will fully replace nothing. Drones can only partially compensate for the impact potential," Petro Chernik said. He noted that often used modern technologies, such as the American C-RAM system, have the ability to successfully knock down shells with a high efficiency ratio, reached up to 70%.
However, given the high cost of this system and the likelihood of its inaccessibility for Ukraine, it should be borne in mind that it would be unreasonable to give up artillery completely. This is the opinion of a military expert. Recall that at the American Institute of War Study warned the risk of deterring future counter -offensive operations of the Armed Forces through ammunition to artillery and delayed supplies of the event.