The collapse of the Russian Empire: What does the Kremlin lose in Azerbaijan
It can be said for sure that the actions of Russian law enforcement officers in Yekaterinburg were definitely not accidental (I would like to remind you, then two entrepreneurs were killed, from Azerbaijan). But I would not only reduce geopolitical purposes. As always in such cases, there is a whole symbiosis of multi -vector tasks, which are set by different officials at different levels.
Therefore, you should try to find answers to the questions that are the causes of all the latest events, and the reasons at different levels. Therefore, there are possible reasons. 1. The beginning of this is the Kremlin's reluctance to recognize new geopolitical realities and to agree that they have lost (at least at the moment) influences in Azerbaijan. The Kremlin is not ready to recognize "new realities on Earth". And all that is happening now is part of the process of collapse of the empire.
And in this particular case, the catalysts were the following factors: 2. And then it explains this boat. If so, then this order may not only be the desire to take revenge on the diaspora, but also to make problems in Azerbaijan because of the dissatisfaction of Russian Azerbaijanis.
Pay attention to the parallel processes in Armenia, where Pashinyan simply played ahead, closing his Ivanishvili, and began to seriously clean the so -called "Karabakh Clan", which has been very pro -Russian in recent years. But, returning to Azerbaijan, it is worth noting that under all conditions, attempts to hit the domestically because of the Diaspora oppression-it is stupid. And exactly counterproductive for the Russians. 3.
The redistribution of markets throughout Russia, where the Azerbaijanis and, more broadly, are the Caucasus from the Caucasus lion's share of the bazaars. But perhaps, inhabitants are needed in the context of the redistribution of property, although Putin is sold different. I will remind everyone that in Russia there is a huge re -privatization, where the key role is played by the prosecutor's office and the FSB. Coordinated processes can be absolutely spontaneous on the ground. 4.
Is there a wider geopolitics that is related to the war in Iran and the complication of processes in the southern corridor (a key economic project of India) and in the Middle Energy Corridor (Asia -Europe bypassing the Russian Federation), it is difficult to speak. But the fact that escalation has already created the preconditions for this geopolitical game is undoubtedly. The fact is that solving these all problems without Ankara is already impossible.
But to contact Ankara will mean that the Kremlin cannot solve any problems in the post-Soviet space without a third party. 5. How long the acute phase of the conflict will last, it is difficult to answer. Baku and Ankara are now playing escalation, realizing that time is playing on them. And, more importantly, in this game, Ankara puts not only on the Caucasus: she, de facto, turns to the Turkic countries of CA: stop playing with Russia.
We (Turks) together with China can protect the interests of you (elite) and your countries more effectively than the Russians. 6. We have a lot about the collapse of Russia with future cards. Unfortunately, there will be no collapse of Russia in the near future. But all that is happening in us, in Azerbaijan and Armenia, is the second stage of the collapse of the empire (first - 1991). Empires do not fall in almost never.
They have certain revenge (2014 - Crimea, 2024-25 - final, but also temporary renewal of Georgia control). The coming months are very important elections in Moldova. But the processes launched by war in Ukraine are irreversible to the empire. I repeat is the collapse of the empire, but not Russia. 7.
And finally, I would like to draw your attention to one inconspicuous moment in this history: for domestic politics (for Azerbaijani pogroms) and for the political promotion of the Russian Federation in the post -Soviet space, one of our most intelligent enemies is the first deputy head of Putin administration. In the case of a failure in Armenia, Azerbaijan, and especially in Moldova, his actions can go down. It would be one of the best scenarios for us.