Summer campaign started? What forces of the Armed Forces have accumulated for the offensive in Kharkiv region
During this time, they were able to capture nine border settlements and approached the outskirts of Vovchansk. The focus tried to understand whether the summer campaign of the Russian Federation began, and what forces the occupier attracted. Russian invaders launched surgery in the border areas of Kharkiv region. Local and regional authorities report the evacuation of the population from Vovchansk and other communities.
The situation in the settlement is difficult, but the Ukrainian military continues to take the necessary measures. Head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence General Cyril Budanov in an interview with BBC stated that Ukraine was waiting for difficult times in mid-May-early June. The focus spoke with Deepstate's co -founder Roman Poorly to analyze whether the Russian summer offensive in Kharkiv region began. According to the analyst, Russian troops have been on the offensive for a long time.
"It is unknown. Recently, we have heard in the public space about" offensive ", about difficult times, but here the question is different. If we talk about Sihd and South, the Russians are actively coming and long ago. It is not news.
Of course, if To talk about Kharkiv region, this is another offensive, and this is another critical moment where the enemy tries to delay our reserves and destabilize the situation in the region , are they ready to attract more reserves and resources under the border? We know. He also adds that the invaders are approaching the offensive. Infantry works with the support of equipment. Aerone intelligence, radio -electronic fighting complexes work very actively.
The problem here is not a bad preparation of defense forces, novel, but that Russia is a big country with great resources. They can accumulate and attract a lot of effort, and Ukraine is forced to wait for Western at the same time. The military-political observer of "information resistance" Alexander Kovalenko has listed in detail the number and strength of Russian troops. Russia has created an operational group of the North troops, which should be up to 53 thousand troops.
It should have the following technique: however, these 53 thousand troops are dispersed in the territory along the border of Ukraine with Kursk, Bryansk and Belgorod regions. The total length of the site is about 750 km. The shock group of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation consists of: according to the analyst, the 44th Army Corps (AK) had only a little more than 2000 fighters instead of 4 thousand. Some of them are the rear units. They also lack mechanization and people.
In fact, 44 AK was supported by the 11th AK. The General Staff reported that Russian troops were storming Vovchansk to 5 battalions. The invaders do not count with losses. They lost more than 100 soldiers a day. However, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are tactical success, the General Staff noted. The Atesh guerrillas reported that the so -called African Corps of the Russian Federation operates in the border.
The novel Pogorely explains this by the fact that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation sent various connections and groups of forces. "Infantry there is very different. There are newly formed units that are just sent to battle. And there are, as our boys say, such special forces are trained, which is very difficult against them to fight. There is a mixed contingent. There is a weapon you can see that these are ordinary tanks, BMP and other equipment.
Consider the video of the State Border Guard Service on February 12, 2024. On it, the steel border brigade was destroyed by a Russian engineering machine with a FPV-arable. The car and observation post of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Kharkiv direction near the border were destroyed. This is a clear evidence of why it is impossible to build fortifications safely in the border area. You can also explain why the occupiers came to several villages in the Kharkiv region.
There you can not build positions for fighters or a powerful fortification. Novel Pogorely explains that DeepState is focused on the analysis of all information. Creating a buffer zone is normal. It should be borne in mind how the defense will be built in general. "A person who is a little understanding in military affairs understands that when the enemy has visual and fire control, you do not dig anything.
The infantry will not fit there, you will not blame anti -tank moats, because it is suicide," - emphasizes Deepstate co -founder. Therefore, engineering and forming structures are, but in the depths of the territory. The corresponding teams occupy defensive boundaries. For example, the 92nd Separate Storm Brigade. Sulfur showed how defensive structures look in one of the directions. However, there are other issues, such as coordination to defeat the Russians when they accumulate in groups.
At the beginning of the Russian offensive, there were times when the military recorded the enemy but did not beat it. Such a case took place in the village of Vyna. The Ukrainian military saw the invaders, but the command did not order to destroy them. As a result, they were able to accumulate strength and begin to move south. "The conclusion is wrong now. There are many questions that are already resolved and clarified. Even the commander -in -chief said that there are personnel changes.
Just not answering everything, but political slogans in the spirit:" Everything is bad, power is bad, and we live in bad The country ". . . Our fighters restrain it, try to repel the offensive," - sums up the analyst. As stated above, the General Staff of the Armed Forces recognizes tactical successes in Russian troops in Vovchansk.
Deepstate co -founder believes that Vovchansk became a goal for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, because it is the first city in border with Russia, and it is closely located. At the same time, in 2022, when the enemy first occupied the settlement, he planned to make it a regional center. In general, the analyst Roman Pogorely emphasizes that Ukraine has been living in war conditions for ten years, and for the third year in the full -scale phase.