Not only military assistance and sanctions: the ISW found out under what conditions Putin will sit at the negotiating table
Analysts of the American Institute of War Studying about the situation in Ukraine for July 21. Researchers believe that, despite the start of the 50-day weapons campaign of Ukraine and the willingness to take advantage of the proposal of US President Donald Trump about 100 percent secondary tariffs on the Kremlin partners, what is happening on the front line remains a priority.
"ISW consistently evaluates that only significant failures of Russia on the battlefield, made by timely and sufficient military assistance to the Ukrainian forces, will make Putin review Russia's ability to defeat Ukraine and bring it at the negotiating table," the construction reads. However, such failures for the Russian army will not happen soon, analysts say. They believe that the failures of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation "not in a matter of weeks".
Most likely, serious problems with Russians will require several months or "seasons of military campaigns". But this will happen if the event is obliged to equip the Ukrainian army accordingly and to help at such a level that it will allow you to put such operations into practice. On July 19, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Rustem Umerov suggested that the Russian side hold a meeting next week.
The leader of Ukraine argues that the Kremlin's negotiation dynamics should be strengthened. On July 21, Russian Presidential President Dmitry Peskov said that the Kremlin did not review the composition of the negotiation commission, which he would send for the next meeting with Ukraine. He also stated that difficult diplomatic work is waiting for the parties. We will remind, on July 14 the Russian media "Izvestia" reported that direct negotiations of Ukraine and Russia will continue.