Nuclear blackmail of Russia. Why the enemy activity is a sign of powerlessness
Over the last 30 days, Russian propaganda has formed a new narrative, which simultaneously recognizes the impossibility of victory of the Russian Federation with a conventional weapon on the Boy field in Ukraine and again raises rates, threatening the world with limited use of nuclear weapons. This is presented in two texts - political scientist Sergei Karaganov and the deputy chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev.
Sergey Karaganov writes in the article "Hard but necessary" that the war of the Russian Federation in the territory of Ukraine does not make sense and, in fact, will not be successful: "Not the worst situation can happen if the cost of horrible victims we will capture the whole of Ukraine and stay on ruins with the population that mostly hates us. It will take more than a decade.
" That is, it is necessary to understand this that the author broadcasts great doubts around the Kremlin service that the war against Ukraine can in principle be successful. Therefore, he has a fantasy: "A more attractive option - the admiration and reunification of the East and South, and the imposition of the residues of Ukraine with capitulation with full demilitarization, the creation of a buffer, friendly state.
But such a result is possible only if and when we can break the will of the West To the support of the Kiev authorities, and we will force it to retreat…… this military operation cannot be completed with a decisive victory without imposing a strategic retreat or even surrender. ” Karaganov then wrote that the Russian Federation needs to threaten the world with a nuclear blow somewhere in Europe. And that he knows how to strike a nuclear blow to Europe so that the US will not strike.
If you properly build a strategy for intimidation and even use, he writes, then the risk of "nuclear strike", and any other blow to the Russian territory can be minimized. America, they say, will not dare to strike for the defense of Europeans, "sacrificing conditional Boston for the sake of conditional Poznan. " The second software text is an article signed by the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev "Age of Confrontation".
Where it is written, the Russian Federation has never tried to restrain NATO. The Russian Federation is indifferent to the accession of Finland and NATO right near their St. Petersburg. The purpose of the Kremlin is not to let Ukraine get to NATO. And threatens the nuclear apocalypse, if the event does not allow the Russian Federation to capture Ukraine.
It also requires some new document on the section of the world that would sign with the Russian Federation and the redemption of the UN and other international organizations on convenient conditions for the Russian Federation. The motive is not new to the Russian Emperors. Because no matter how much propagandists they say that the Russian Federation is fighting with NATO, in reality, this war does not want and afraid.
And what do the Russians want is to come up with something such a hybrid, a small victorious special operation, a bluff with nuclear weapons, or something else that would force the West to give Russian territories to Russia without resistance. This plan remains unchanged since 2014.
The source of the inspiration of this plan is the imitation of Hitler, who at first forced the threats of war, France and the United States to ignore the annexation of Austria, and then allow him to capture Czechoslovakia. And in the end, Hitler encouraged Stalin with this bluff to the Poland.
Since 2014, the Russian Federation conducted hybrid military operations and threatened the world with a great war in Ukraine, demanding only one - that someone there pressed Ukrainians there and forced us to surrender. Because the Russians themselves are not able to capture Ukraine. They are not able to withstand Ukrainians on the battle field on an equal footing. Therefore, in the Kremlin, they invent something that would encourage other world players to give Ukraine to hammer the Russians.
In 2022, the Russian Federation increased rates and has already opened the invasion of Ukraine. And they achieved the same thing - that Ukraine would leave Russia. And the fact that the allies did not leave Ukraine to fight alone became the subject of frustration, resentment and even insults to the West. The Russians are offended because they are not accustomed to fighting on an equal footing.
In the same key, the statement of the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov that the Russian Armed Forces will respond to the F-16 aircraft in the Ukrainian sky as a nuclear threat. This is, of course, a beacon. Because these planes are a lot in the sky around the world and still did not respond to them as a nuclear threat.
But, it seems to me that all this blackmail became possible only because during this war, none of those strategic aviation aircraft of the Russian Federation, which are potential carriers of nuclear weapons, and which are not released by missiles over the territory of Ukraine above this war. Caspian Sea. It would simply not be the subject of conversation if these components of the Russian nuclear triad had already beaten.
And here, of course, we can be offended that we were not given such long -range weapons. But the Ukrainian people are creative enough. And we are well aware of which distances Russian invaders furnish Ukraine. Therefore, it is necessary to take care of our own weapons, so that you do not consult with anyone, where and what to knock.
And if the production of such weapons interferes with the allocation of funds for repair of roads, then it is probably necessary to agree that the repair of roads will go less. And also, if the language has already come, make statements unproductive and run on social networks with conversations that need to restore the production of nuclear weapons. In general, it is necessary to stop talking at all levels.