Mobilization will not help: experts predict the failure of the offensive of the Russian Federation (infographics)
Journalists say that during the 50th week the full-scale war of the Russian Army managed to move a little in eastern Ukraine. This was made possible after the mobilization of a large amount of living force. Many experts also point out that Russia continues to expand the army and accumulate resources for a second offensive. In addition, on the east line of the front there is an increase in pressure of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.
The head of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Alexei Reznikov assumes that Moscow can start a large -scale operation before the anniversary of its invasion, noting that "Russians live symbolism. " The minister also added that Russia is mobilizing half a million new soldiers instead of the officially declared 300,000. According to the head of the Luhansk Regional Administration, Sergei Gaidai, the offensive can begin in mid -February.
This is evidenced by the collection of reserves to the borders of Ukraine. "They bring ammunition that are used differently than before - it is no longer a 24 -hour shelling. They are slowly starting to save, getting ready for a full -scale offensive," Gaidai said. For his part, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky said on January 30, the offensive was already ongoing. "I think she started it," the Ukrainian leader said.
According to the media, most experts talk about the probable failure of a new offensive of the Russian Federation. The general position of many military observers was expressed by Major-General Mick Ryan, noting that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation suffered severe losses, and the introduction into the army of hundreds of thousands of recruits will not help to restore strength.
"In fact, this will make their task more difficult because the command of 150 younger soldiers who do not have sufficient training is a difficult task for leaders who remain in the Russian army in Ukraine," Ryan journalists quoted. The successful reflection of Ukraine's attack by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation also depends on the supply of Western weapons, including tanks.
"Germany, which postponed its first party from 14 LEOPARD 2A4 tanks, has additionally promised 100 LEOPARD 1A5 tanks, bringing the total number of tanks promised this year's allies to 223," the publication reads. In total, Ukraine has invited at least 300 tanks to liberate its territories. The first of the four promised Ukraine of Canadian tanks Leopard 2A4 has already arrived in Poland.
Earlier, on February 8, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius reported that German tanks Leopard 2A6 would arrive in Ukraine at the end of March. At the same time, the German Defense Ministry cannot be infused for the LEOPARD 1A5 delivery time. We will remind that on January 3, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky stated that Ukraine can restrain the Russian offensive already existing in the arsenal weapons due to the high level of motivation of the Armed Forces.