Putin's strategy: how much Russia can still delay the war
But the desire to create an "information alternative" by pumping panic and despair does not give a real picture. And it hurts. So let's briefly look at the theses that different people repeat in different circumstances, following Russian narratives. STRATEGY. RESOURCE. The myth of the endless resources of the Russian Federation I figured out. So let's briefly. Negotiations. Putin does not want negotiations. But not because it has a plan or wins. The reason is different.
This dictatorship is based on balancing and setting under the situation. This gives (sometimes) the advantage in tactics, but almost excludes the ability to implement strategies. Because there are no institutes. And the war for the regime is a new balance. In which you can preserve the environment, keep dictate and total censorship. So far, there is enough resource and legitimacy. That is - to new painful defeats. While they can, they will continue. Not because they have a plan to win.
And because they are afraid of the risks of the imbalance that will come if you go to "total mobilization" or admit defeat. What we saw in the example of a rebellion of Prigogine and especially the number of people from the trenches who sympathized with him. Therefore, mobilization is drawn. Therefore, they are afraid of the return of soldiers because the conqueror who returned home with defeat is (literally) a revolutionary factor. After all, they lose.