It is afraid of Putin's compromise. What is dangerous to repay Trump

Many consider Donald Trump's possible selection of a big problem for Ukraine. Yes, the analyst Alexander Kochetkov agrees, offended by all and all Trump, is a serious threat. But not like most imagines it. As for the potential election of D. Trump, many consider the possible re -election of Donald Trump a big problem for Ukraine, which is leading an uneven war with Russian under -imperia, and for Europe, which in the event of such election can be with Russia almost alone.

Yes, all and all Trump is a serious threat. But not like most imagines it. This is not such a fool that Putin has a compromise on him, so the US president will follow his instructions. Trump's main problem is that he prevails not by political, but a business approach to everything he does. It is quite natural for the billionaire, but it can play a stupid joke with the president of the most powerful country in the world.

A true politician aims at a result that does not look obvious and difficult today, but is absolutely necessary at one time. And so resources spent on these resources - financial, production - are not of fundamental importance. The businessman is set to get success - the sooner the better. And at a minimum of costs. If it is not successful, the businessman minimizes losses and closes the disadvantageous project.

And it still reposes on a mathematical approach: a large corporation always wins in competition with a small, except when the small has a breakthrough know-how. But these are single exceptions. Usually, a large just absorbs the little one. Trump is convinced that competition with China is a much greater threat to the US than Russia's aggression in the center of Europe.

To put it bluntly, super -modern and cheap Chinese electric vehicles are more dangerous to the United States than outdated non -imperial missiles, because they are not coming to the United States. And to the main markets for their products. And the industry is already attacked by these markets. And so let the EU deal with the war against Ukraine. And the United States should minimize Ukraine's support.

All you have to do is negotiate and impose more or less acceptable conditions for the absorption of Little Ukraine by Russia. And focus on restraining China. Do not give him Taiwan, because there are real business interests of the United States. As, by the way, in Israel. NATO support is almost the same. Businessman Trump does not sincerely understand why the US should be in defense of this block more than other members (in percentage, of course).

These are unnecessary costs with a non -obvious result. In the end, Trump voters are more disturbed by illegal migrants from Mexico than the potential aggression of Russia and Belarus against, for example, the Baltic countries. Here it will begin - then we will respond… It is clear that I make a bit simplifying the situation. In the US, there are influential institutions and people who understand everything quite adequately.

But Trump is accustomed that the last word is always behind him - both in business and presidential affairs. This will be especially noticeable if it can return to the White House. Therefore, you should not walk around Trump. Although it was not necessary to despise him, as Davos died in Davos from the Ukrainian delegation. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position. The author is responsible for published data in the "Thought" section.