Resources for war are running out by 2026: when it becomes sharply worse in both us and in them
It will become a year when the warehouses with Soviet technology will remain mostly junk. That is, the losses on the front will not be closed from the warehouse. The volume of production of new equipment - several times less than the necessary, and therefore, will either have to be begged in the Difficulties, or wait for a gradual reduction of equipment on the front.
In addition, the bottom of the financial reserves is already visible - the liquid part of the FNB can be exhausted by the end of 2025. Well, or leave the ponytail, and the hole in the budget will be closed with "inflation" revenues, which is also fun (for them). People in the Russian army are still being recruited by lure with frantic payments for the conclusion of the contract. How this process will happen in 2025 - it is unclear, but I think they will somehow turn.
We have at least 35 billion euros ($ 39 billion) from the EU next year. At the maximum, this program will give us $ 50 billion if the US, Britain, Canada and Japan join. What is likely. 39-50 billion bucks with a stock close the hole in our 20125 budget, and the balance of these funds can be used for weapons. On weapons. NATO countries promised to allocate 40 billion euros for military assistance to Ukraine.
There is no details of the distribution of this amount, but I suspect that half should be in the United States. And in the US it all depends on the order of the election. And it is important not only who will become president, but also who will receive the majority in the Senate and House of Representatives. The Senate will probably be for the Republicans, but the majority of the ward is a serious struggle. That is, weapons from NATO countries will be, but it is unclear in what volumes.
I think the minimum required will be provided in one way or another. The balance of European 39 billion plus NATO countries without states is still tens of billions of dollars. Moreover, even with the worst results of the US election, it will be possible to discuss the issues of US weapons purchases for money instead of free programs available today.
IMHO, our main problem next year is a dysmoral in a society that affects the front, where there are problems with the management of troops, which I do not spread. Together. There are resources for war in 2025. But in 2026 everything can become sharply worse in both us and in them. Therefore, my forecast - in the second half of 2025, real negotiations will become possible for the first time in the whole time. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.