Two to three weeks became a "100 meter". Why Bankova voiced a new forecast of the end of the war with the Russian Federation

The war should end in about 187 days - these are the 30% of the "path" that Ukraine "has to run" to victory. In any case, the Presidential Head of President Andriy Yermak says. Focus found out what the chances of these forecasts would come true. The full -scale war of Russia with Ukraine lasts 626 days and before its completion it is necessary to take the most difficult stage.

The end of the war will be very unexpected and no one knows when it comes, the head of the Presidential Office of Ukraine (OP) Andriy Yermak is confident. It compares the period of war with 100 meters, of which 70 meters have already run. "Many factors affect this (the end of the war - ed. ). I would like to happen faster," Yermak shares. Given the stated figures, we can conclude that another 30% of the path will be over and the war will end in at least 187 days.

The remaining distance is heavy and if you "start to feel the winner, you can lose everything," he added. According to the military expert of the Institute of Euro-Atlantic Cooperation, Igor Kozia, if you compare the war with 100 meters, it is worth considering the number of people involved in the race on both sides.

If the human resource of the army of the Russian Federation is 13 million people, and in Ukraine - about 4 million, then the passed military stage will be estimated in the proportion not 70 to 30, but 20 to 80, says the analyst. "The promotion in the south is slow, the ratio of about 300 meters per day per 100 kilometers. The Armed Forces had little tactical missiles of the ATACMS.

Almost simultaneously with Yermak, the adviser to the head of the OP Mikhail Podolyak in an interview with DW speaks of the transition of war to the point of non -return: Russia is well aware that in the event of defeat the front line will fall. After that, the Kremlin elite and the Russian Federation will cease to exist. "They will have processes, as in 1991, only with much larger internal claims.

And if we do not get on the front and will not ensure the defeat of Russia, then the war will freeze. Ukraine will be constantly under external pressure," the adviser explained. Russia will arrange permanent terrorist attacks and internal political conflicts in Ukraine. The direct question of whether the war will end next year, Podolyak replied that it was difficult to make forecasts. "We will fit into subjective factors.

These are internal political discussions that determine the volume of supply of military equipment. Negotiations are impossible because Russia wants to capitulate Ukraine and consolidate temporarily occupied territories," - added the adviser to the head of the OP.

Both interviews of Bankova representatives were not accidental in one day, because more questions about the end of the country and in the West becomes more, says the director of the political and legal programs of the Ukrainian Center for Public Development, political scientist Igor Reitrovich says focus. "There are some doubts in Western politicians, they are passed to the Ukrainian authorities.

Of course, 70 overcome meters sounds positive, but on the other hand, there is a call to mobilize all efforts for the last breakthrough," the expert said. Reitrovich emphasizes that Bankova has not specified from what period it is necessary to calculate the beginning of the war with the Russian Federation-from 2014 or from the moment of the full-scale phase on February 24, 2022. "If you start from the first, it turns out at least 3-4 years to fight," he summed up.