Will Russia arrange rocket Armageddon in Kiev before Independence Day. Three Putin motifs

"I am inclined to the fact that the blows of the decisions centers, to which all the propaganda service of the Kremlin will be called, now there will be no. Opinion. We. We are from Ukraine for the last few weeks in the media and social networks, or not the main question is whether Putin will hit Kiev on August 24. The excitement is warmed by the decision of the authorities of Ukraine to transfer government quarter employees to online this week, as well as reduce the working time of the subway.

A very logical solution, based on logic, is better to be safe than regret, and given Putin's fanatical love for different dates. Let me remind you that in 2014, regular troops of the Russian Federation entered Ukraine on the eve of August 24 to arrange an Ilovay boiler. But I am inclined to conclude that rocket Armageddon with blows to the decision centers, which is called by all the propaganda service of the Kremlin, now (especially after the murder of Dugin's daughter).

But in half a year, the Kremlin had already understood that every new rocket that has arrived in Ukraine, every new innocent sacrifice, whether a woman, an old, child or just a casual passerby, has a completely opposite effect. On the contrary, Ukrainians rally even more and even more begin to hate Putin and Russians personally. It is clear that he will not sit in his office that day and will wait for "arrival".

Spend tens of millions of dollars on rocket volley, most of which will raise the PPO? And even if the remaining ones will come and impress the goals? What will this lead to? To new innocent victims among civilians. And, God forbid, the death of foreign diplomats. Next to the BP building, for example, is the Chinese Embassy.

Do you imagine the level of scandal and consequences for the Russians and personally for Putin? Given the handwriting and "precision of high -precision weapons", the risks are very high. I am not saying that it will be perceived by the event as another terrorist act and will facilitate the imposition of new sanctions. Did Erdogan come to a meeting with Zelensky with proposals for negotiations with Putin? Well, you need to be a complete idiot to tie it to that date.

The war is increasingly having signs of transition to a protracted stage with the prospect of continuing hostilities next year. Yes, attempts on the offensive of the Russians in the south and changes in the balance of forces will probably be before the onset of cold. But at least from May 9 (if not earlier) - sacred for the Putin regime, the Kremlin departed from the attachment of some serious success to a specific "Red Calendar Day".