Economics

Hand Cases: The Russian economy is expected to be a crisis - what is the reasons

Recently, the United States and the United Kingdom have imposed new sanctions concerning the Moscow Exchange, National Depository, other Russian institutions and banks. Experts have told focus why the latest measures of influence should gradually bring the aggressor economy to a crisis. The Moscow Exchange stopped the auction of the euro and the dollar. The reason is the US package. On June 13, it became known that the United Kingdom also introduced an analogous package.

Stopping the Exchange is able to complicate the purchase and sale of dollars and euros by Russian enterprises, and commissions for such operations for Russian companies will increase significantly. Focus writes about it in the article "Moscow Exchange without Currency. As the US and Britain beats the Russian finances and how it will end.

" Financial analyst Andriy Shevchyshyn noted that the termination of trading in dollar, euro and Hong Kong dollar on the exchange means that market participants will need to look for alternative channels to provide currency exchange operations. "It will be more difficult for buying currency and banks, and the exchange rate will be unprofitable-the spread between the purchase rate and the sales rate will increase," says Andriy Shevchyshyn.

The analyst, head of the strategic planning department in the international financial company Finteum Andriy Nesteruk notes that sanctions to the Moscow exchange will complicate pricing in the foreign exchange market of Russia. "Now, there may be no spot contracts. After all, spot transactions are usually stock exchange. However, the termination of dollar trading and the euro on Mosbryzh does not mean that Russian importers will not be able to buy these currencies at all.

First of all, the result of the stopping of the Mosbryzh will be higher commission expenses that will bear companies and businesses in the Russian Federation, which will need to buy or sell these currencies. "There will be wider spreads between buying and selling, buying or selling currencies will be more difficult. It will be especially difficult for small companies, small banks, for them will significantly increase the cost of such currency transactions.

In addition, there will be no market price of currency, there will . The analyst Ivan Uglynitsa notes that despite a sufficiently noticeable media registry-the impact of the termination of foreign exchange auctions on Mosburge will be, but not so significant.

"That is, it is currently more restructuring for OTC agreements, which will take some time, but there will be more restructuring of the interbank market, the FX market in Russia and the transition more to bilateral, OTC agreements, or the creation of some sites, quasi It will take time because they are blocked by the accounts of the exchange itself and the transition to new rails will require not only time, but also additional tools, decisions that will allow clients to transfer funds or exchange them for other assets, "says Ivan Uglynitsa.

The expert also noted that the so-called political and psychological consequences of US sanctions and VB to Mosbirza are expected. "These sanctions have made sufficiently loud resonance, first of all, for the market and banks itself, other professional market participants.

Sanctions are also part of the general set of reactions and demonstrations of opportunities by the West, in particular - weapons, permissions to strike in the Russian Federation, granting a loan of Ukraine, granting a loan to Ukraine. At the expense of the arrested funds of the Russian Federation and other more active actions and applications for Ukraine's support by Western allies. , there will be a rapid deterioration of the situation.