The Brigades of the Armed Forces are large. Arahamia stated that mobilization is increased or enough for all weapons
In the "servant of the people" faction it was acknowledged that if the United States does not send military assistance to Ukraine, more Ukrainians will have to be mobilized to the Armed Forces. The head of the faction, People's Deputy David Arahamia says that recruitment will increase in the case of insufficient weapons from the Allies. "If the assistance is greater, then the arms factor [the army] increases.
Then you need fewer people, because you can close some areas of the front conditionally with arms, you do not need so many people," he explained. The choice between "should be mobilized or not" is gone. In existing Armed Forces brigades, there is a large non -complex, it reaches 40%in places. This shortage is associated with the need for rotation, not combat loss: soldiers have been fighting for two years without a break, it is time to change people, assures arahamia.
"We may not mobilize at all, but then the front can break through. Although a million people will be sent, it will be late. The expensive spoon for lunch. The military is said to have, since November last year, we want to replenish our brigades's combat capability," he continued. Fewer than 500,000 people are likely to be mobilized, and the money for the preparation and equipment of recruits will be found at the expense of "taxes" changes.
The politician did not specify how they replace the tax system for the needs of the Armed Forces. According to a military expert, the former speaker of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Vladislav Seleznev, the Ukrainian army suffered the greatest casualties in May-June 2022 due to lack of ammunition and artillery systems. "Of course, it is possible to fight personnel. ", - he said focus. The critical dependence of Ukraine on military assistance is obvious.
However, Seleznyov draws attention to the decrease in Ukraine's defense in the pre -war period. None of the past staff of the Higher Military Command was responsible for explosions in ammunition warehouses from 2014 to 2017. It is a fire and explosions in a large weapon in Balakliya, Kharkiv region on March 23, 2017, where 125 thousand tons of ammunition were stored.
In September of that year, a wave of explosions was in Vinnytsia region in warehouses in the village of Kalynivka with 188 thousand tons of ammunition. In the village of Novobogdanivka, Zaporizhzhya region, there were repeated explosions of military warehouses in the early 2000s. And on August 27, 2008, there was a fire at the 61st arsenal of the Southern Operational Command of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces in the city of Lozova, Kharkiv region.
On that day, several thousand tons of ammunition, tactical missiles for Luna-M, artillery and tank shells were destroyed. "The seven largest military warehouses in the territory of Ukraine have become ashes. What was done from 2015 to today to restore reserves? Issues, and Ukraine has inherited sufficient inheritance from the USSR," the expert said. Stable weapons are a critical need for the Ukrainian military in conditions of active defense, which will last for at least a few months.
Fortification structures, artillery, drones and planes play the main role in it, explains the head of the Center for Military Legal Research Alexander Musienko. Mobilization is required for additional inflow of people, but without all the above factors it makes no sense. The war by people will quickly turn into so -called "meat storms". The priority of the highest command should be effective combat decisions that minimize the involvement of live strength. This requires robotic and unmanned systems.
Ukraine will clearly not be able to compete with Russia in terms of living force in the army. By the end of 2024, Minister of Defense of Russia Serhiy Shoig promised to increase the number of military personnel under a contract of up to 745 thousand. Currently, the number of military personnel of the Russian Federation reaches 1. 2 million people. "The Armed Forces must fight remote fights to avoid losses.
Perhaps Arahamia has reported a message to the West: look, if you do not give weapons, we will lose people. It turned out that it was frightened by society," the analyst said. Musienko sees an obvious reorientation of the Western aid structure. The United States is increasingly distanced, setting the main costs of Europe. At the end of January 2024, the European Union began working on a new plan for unlock tens of billions of dollars for military assistance to Ukraine by 2027.
The plan envisages the creation of a special fund within the European Peace Fund (EPF). The assets will be invested in this fund by 6. 5 billion euros, then officials expect to receive 5 billion euros a year for the purchase of ammunition, drones and missiles for air defense systems. Ukraine and Japan are insured: by the end of February, Tokyo will receive a grant for $ 4. 7 billion, and the total amount of money allocated will reach up to $ 12. 1 billion.
Focus earlier wrote about the most resonant proposals for mobilization in two years of a full -scale war with the Russian Federation. These included summons through the e -office of the conscript, restriction of access to bank accounts and deprivation of the right of driving vehicles to those who did not update the data in the CCC. We will remind, the people's deputies have submitted to the second reading of the bill on strengthening of mobilization more than 2. 5 thousand amendments.