The most effective way to undermine Putin's confidence in victory is the counter -offensive of the Armed Forces - isw
"Ukrainian counter -offensive operations that release the promptly important territory remain the most effective way to undermine Putin's confidence in the desired end result of his aggressive war against Ukraine and his commitment to this result," the report reads.
Analysts have explained that the refusal of the Russian president to any ceasefire shows that he is increasingly convinced that Russia can achieve victory, continuing creeping promotion in Ukraine, stopping Ukraine's support from the event and winning the war for exhaustion against Ukrainian troops.
ISW also noted that Putin's confidence in Russia's ability to persuade Ukraine to surrender or win a protracted war on exhaustion is based on assessing that Ukraine will not be able to carry out operational significant counter -offensive operations.
"The event should hurry to provide Ukraine with the support necessary for conducting counter -offensive operations to destroy Putin's calculations and avoid delaying war more than is necessary to ensure peace acceptable for Ukraine and its partners," the ISW stressed. In addition, the American Institute of War Study reminded that Putin has long been calling for the "demilitarization" of Ukraine, which will lead to the inability of Ukrainians to resist Russian aggression.
"Putin will almost certainly use the surrender of Ukraine to achieve his other goal - to eliminate the democratically elected government of Ukraine and to replace it with a pro -Russian government and a political system that he likes," ISW emphasized. We will remind, in the same report analysts stated that Vladimir Putin used the Prime Minister of Hungary Viktor Orban to refuse ceasefire through negotiations.