Odessa occupation: real threat or manipulation of Russian power
In a number of foreign media, according to some insiders and unnatural sources that deserve trust, materials are published that Putin intends to seize Odessa by force or to achieve Trump Territorial Territorial Records within the Truce.
Among the distributors of such narratives are quite respectable editions, such as Corriere Deella Sera, which has published material that if Ukraine refuses peace agreements, then Russia will go to Odessa, and a cheap yellow press in the form of L'Atidiplomatico, which was reported on the pages. Here's to give it, and everything will be adjusted at once . . .
The fact that Odesa was always a goal for Putin is true, but since 2022, the goal in the realization of this goal has not approached any meter, but vice versa. But the regular terror of the city-Kamikadze Droami, especially persons, who are in panic attacks, that such a plan is being implemented right now. In fact, no. Russian occupation troops have no chance to occupy Odessa in the present conditions. There is simply no remedy for such an offensive campaign for such an offensive campaign.
And in general, I am surprised as someone tries to convince the environment that Odesa will be occupied, while Russian troops cannot capture the Yar for a year and a half, nine months break the foreheads into Toretsk and a year and a half after the beginning of Avdi's offensive in Donetsk. Pokrovsk.
The enemy and experts can speak of Odessa, who are being assigned to him that they will be killed about the inevitability of the offensive and the capture of the city, if the Russian group of Dnepr troops, after escaping from the right bank of the Dnieper in November 2022, could not conduct any successful counter -offensive operation and incapable.
And this is all despite the fact that even if you imagine such a successful landing operation, the fighting on the Right -Bank Kherson region and Mykolaiv region did not cancel, only the tracks with a length of Odessa - 180 kilometers, not to mention the formation of flank.
In the Donetsk region, the concentration of three groups of troops and a year and a half deepening-35 kilometers in the most active direction of impact, and here we are talking about one group of troops, on the way-not only complex relief-landscape conditions, cities and villages, but also the border of the Sou defense. What is Odesa? Land surgery to go to Odessa for moles is simply unrealistic and unprecedented.
On the other hand, why should landing on the coast of the Odessa region? First, during a full-scale invasion in 2022, the swarm planned to seize Odessa, but Neptune's PCCC slowed down the implementation of these plans. The fear that the VDK with thousands of Marines on board can be sent to the bottom of the Black Sea, did not allow the mole to realize the intended. They could not then, especially now, given that Neptune PCCC is no longer as alone on their duty as three years ago.
Secondly, during a full-scale war, the Black Sea Fleet not only lost a air cover in the form of Moscow's missile cruiser, but also a number of its VDK, which at times reduces the effect of landing, and any such operation will end for its participants in the inevitable death in the abyss. The main threat to Odessa was, is and will remain terror from Russia. Missile, drone, but it is the terror that it is.