Kursk trap: why the Ukrainian bridgehead is so important in the war and whether the Armed Forces can hold it
The enemy does not leave attempts to trim the logistics paths of the Armed Forces and tries to strengthen the attacks on the positions of defenders: according to the military, the Russians have increased the number of attacks with "shahas", cabin and FPV-the pens. Also, in the morning of March 9, analysts reported the capture of the Russians by the settlement Lebedivka, as well as the success of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in Cherkasy Priest, in Kursk region.
Currently, the situation in the Kursk region looks difficult for the Defense Forces of Ukraine, but military analysts make forecasts in favor of the Armed Forces. The intensification of hostilities in the Kursk region by the Russian army is related to international trends, in particular, the possibility of so -called peaceful negotiations, says military analyst Dmitry Snegirev.
Russia understands that the presence of the Ukrainian defense forces increases the subjectivity of Ukraine in the conversation. "To the inauguration of Donald Trump said he would offer the Ukrainian and Russian sides a demarcation line with a length of 1300 km. Then this statement did not cause significant resonance, but it should be noted that the line of combat clash was 1200 km, of which 100 km were created through the Kursk region, which was controlled at the time.
He refutes the statement about his pro -Russian position, "says Focus Snegirev. After the counter -offensive of the Ukrainian forces, the American side stressed that this situation strengthens Ukraine's position in negotiations. President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the presence of Ukrainian troops in the Kursk region is an important lever of pressure on Russia in both military and diplomatic aspects.
"It is worth mentioning that even before Trump's inauguration, the Bloomberg agency reported that Russia considered the possibility of territorial exchange, in particular, Kursk region in part of the occupied territories of Ukraine, probably Kharkiv. Snegirev calls the following results: according to Snegirev, it is important to stabilize the situation in the Kursk region and in his opinion, there is every chance to do it.
If we go to the border of a small lock -in -judge and keep the bridgehead closer to our border, it will be more strategically profitable. In this case, it is better to have a wider front than to delve deep into the territory. The General Staff will be just about to look at the situation, "says Focus Zhdanov.
Experts believe that the Armed Forces has a high chance of holding the occupied positions, but there are doubts about ceasefire and further" lull ", because Russia is unlikely Where to meet the negotiations with the Ukrainian leader to continue to continue to continue to continue combat clashes are constantly growing - more than 150 a day.
Russia seeks to seize as much territory as possible because it understands that Donald Trump will insist on the fixing line of demarcation and termination of hostilities - where they are standing now. It does not matter in what political context the war will end-the main thing is to force the parties to stop the fire, "says Zhdanov. Therefore, in his opinion, the aggressor country will not agree to the ceasefire conditions.
In addition, for Ukraine, this scenario could play in his hand-in such a case, the Ukrainian troops would be in the territory of Kursk. He will be forced to react. Three previous failed. Although we sometimes retreated, but in general we maintained positions. Now the enemy throws all possible forces, including the North Korean mercenaries, who have already gained combat experience and are a more serious threat. However, our chances of maintaining positions remain high.
The depth of presence should be reduced and the front line should be reduced. This is my personal opinion - the General Staff has a more complete picture and will make the appropriate decisions, " - continues Zhdanov. According to the expert, the north of the small lock should be left, because there is a threat of the environment. Not such a scale as some public is noted, but some of the positions of the Armed Forces have lost.