Catastrophe for all: Analysts modeled the result of China's possible war from the United States for Taiwan - the media
This is written by CNN with reference to a preliminary copy of the Strategic and International Research Center (CSIS). It is reported that the Taiwan war can leave the US army in the same crippled state as the Chinese forces defeated. After the conflict, at least two US aircraft carriers will lie at the bottom of the Pacific Ocean, and the modern Fleet of China, which is the largest in the world, will be in "ruins".
One of the three leaders of the study, which was modeled by hostilities, Mark Kancian said that 24 war scenarios were considered. The researchers have come to the conclusion that China will not be able to capture Taiwan, and the invasion price will be incredibly high. "The US and Japan are losing dozens of ships, hundreds of aircraft and thousands of servicemen. Such losses would cause losses to the global position for many years," the report said.
The study also states that most US Navy scenarios have lost two aircraft carriers and 10 to 20 large surface ships. Approximately 3,200 US servicemen will be killed in three weeks of fighting. The report states that Japan will probably lose more than 100 combat aircraft and 26 warships, while US military bases in its native territory are attacked by China. In addition, as stated in the material, China will be severely affected.
His naval fleet will be broken, the core of his landing forces will also be broken, and tens of thousands of soldiers will be captured. The report estimates that China will lose about 10,000 servicemen and 155 combat aircraft and 138 large ships. The publication writes that the island itself will have a very gloomy future, even if the invasion of the PRC will not be successful. Taiwan forces are very degraded and they will have to protect the damaged economy.
The army will lose about 3,500 people, as well as all frigates and destroyers. But CSIS stated that she did not want her report that the war for Taiwan is inevitable or even likely. "The Chinese leadership may approve the strategy of diplomatic isolation, pressure of the gray zone or economic coercion against Taiwan," the statement said. Dan Graiser, Senior Researcher at the State Supervision Project (Pogo), says a direct Chinese invasion of Taiwan is extremely unlikely.
Such a military operation would immediately violate imports and exports, which depends on the survival of the Chinese economy. "I think the Chinese will do everything possible to avoid a military conflict with anyone," Graiser said. Earlier, Focus wrote that NATO Exhengensk urged China to show the consequences of the attack on Taiwan. According to Anders FOG Rasmussen, any attempt at the PRC to change the status quo in Taiwan by military aggression should summon a single answer to the event.