Opinions

The Kremlin's most important goal. That would give Putin the status of the USSR

Anatoly Amelin co -founder and director of economic programs Ukrainian Institute for the Future seems to have several levels of goals against Ukraine against Ukraine. Where the attempt to capture the territory is the upper, but not the most important thing - Russia really wanted to create the USSR as soon as possible. But without war, the speed of creation would not be so possible.

The people would not accept the following sharp changes: restrictions on rights and freedoms; growth of the state and dependence on it; disappearance of Western brands and communication with the world; Increasing the influence of the army and security forces. And with the war and military propaganda for all this, the Russians were agreed, which is confirmed by sociology with the support of the regime and effective road more than 80%. What would Putin give the status of the USSR? 1. Independence.

It is a closed country that from the dependent system of global supply chains comes to an independent position. The Russian government debt is minimal when compared to all European countries. But the disappropons were calculated and did not evaluate that they were dependent on the ears of Western technologies (electronics, automation, work, software…) 2. Impact.

The presence of huge reserves of hydrocarbons has already shown its impact on the world gas prices, which reached the historic maximums of $ 3000 per thousand cubic meters. Russia also believed that America depends on its titanium and critical materials, and therefore can dictate its conditions. The reality was different. Russia's share in the world oil and gas market is declining, and America easily abandoned Russian titanium, which put the industry on the limit of survival. 3. Fear.

Nuclear bait and status, allegedly, the second army of the world. Well, a large area on the map. It seems to be an example when the 21st Army of the world gives the teeth of the 2nd Army of the world to all showed the true "power" of Russia. The territory of Russia is 95% empty. And the only one is interested in this question is China. 4. Subject.

The unpredictability in combination with the above points, according to Russian architects, should return Russia to the table of negotiations with the world entities. The USSR almost came out, but not in the 70-80s, but in the 90's. - When the industrial and scientific potential of the country is hopelessly behind the world. - When there is no civil society. - When the clans begin to fight for power. - When Russia received its "Afghan" war, but at times more difficult and harder.

It should be added that Russia has overtaken the number of sanctions in some 5 months, and Great China looks at it with contempt, wrinkling the nose from the corpse poison of "Greater Russia". It looks like Putin has overheated himself. If the USSR has passed for two decades of "stagnation" and collapsed in two years, Putin will be able to do this trick in just a few years. I give Russia a maximum of 1-1. 5 years. They are not the resources and the margin of safety, not.