Politics

Putin through secret channels tries to negotiate with Ukraine: explanation isw

According to analysts, the authors of the publication indirectly accuse Zelensky, not Putin, in the absence of serious negotiations. It is argued that the President of the Russian Federation through unofficial channels more accurately reflect his intentions than the Kremlin's public statements.

The New York Times published an article with a call to Ukraine to start negotiations with the Russian Federation and to give in part of the territory, referring to the report that Russian President Vladimir Putin, through unofficial channels and his intermediaries, reports interest in ceasefire. About it writes "Institute of War Study" in the summary of December 28.

According to analysts, the authors of the publication are practically not paying attention to the Kremlin's permanent public statements that the Russian Federation complies with the maximum goals in Ukraine. The material claims that Ukraine is supposed to take advantage of the Russian Federation on the ceasefire, despite the fact that there are many reasons to believe that the signals coming from Putin are insincere.

He may be planning to use time until negotiations continue for his political and military purposes, analysts say. The article states that Ukraine does not need to return the whole territory to get out of the war: "strong, independent, safe", oriented west Ukraine is also a victory. President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky is called to participate in the ceasefire negotiations and not consider it as a defeat.

The publication is indirectly accused of Zelensky, not Putin, in the absence of serious negotiations. Putin's messages, which are transmitted through unofficial channels, are argued more precisely reflect his intentions than public statements by Kremlin officials. But this is not entirely consistent with the Kremlin's open statements addressed to the international and domestic audience.

They have repeatedly emphasized that the leadership of the Russian Federation is not interested in serious negotiations with Ukraine or the West. On December 28, the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev answered journalists' questions about the possibility of negotiations in 2024. He stated that the war would continue, and that the purposes of the Russian Federation remain the disarmament of Ukrainian troops ("demilitarization").

Medvedev also complained that Odessa, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Mykolaiv and Kiev were marked on maps as Ukrainian cities (at the same time none of them was occupied by the Russian Federation). Medvedev's comments confirm many other instructions that the Russian Federation intends to pay off the territory outside the current collision line and outside the four regions and Crimea.

According to Medvedev, the Russian Federation has always been opened before negotiations with Ukraine, but the negotiations themselves can continue until "complete defeat and capitulation" of Ukraine. The Government of Ukraine, for its part, is working on a peaceful plan of 10 points, considers analysts. According to them, the authors of the publication in NYT also do not mention the horrors that the Russian occupation brought to the Ukrainian people.

"Russian forces and administrations carry out large -scale and purposeful ethnic cleansing, forcibly and illegally deport Ukrainians into Russia and replacing them with Russians and migrants," the publication reads. The Russian authorities in different ways exported tens of thousands of children from Ukraine, among other things, Russian families forced them to adopt them.

Occupation administrations systematically work on the destruction of the Ukrainian language, culture, history and ethnicity in the occupied territories, which has been repeatedly documented in ISW. Recall that the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Sergey Lavrov stated that the event is changing the strategy - from the complete victory of Ukraine to improving the position in negotiations with the Russian Federation.