Macron nuclear weapons: Will the French rockets be protected by Ukraine
In particular, against the backdrop of the obvious unwillingness of the official Washington to remain the sole safety guarantor, Emmanuel Macron said that the American "atomic umbrella" to change time to pan -European. The basis of such an umbrella, according to the head of the Elysee Palace, can be the nuclear forces of France and possibly the United Kingdom.
The analytical report, submitted in 2023 to the National Assembly by the French National Defense and Armed Forces Commission, states that there are from 11% to 13% of the annual defense budget every year to support and improve the nuclear arsenal. In terms of per capita, this means that every Frenchman gives from his own pocket to this article of budget expenditures about € 7 a month.
It is quite obvious that if only in words the French leader does not limit himself, then this kind of initiative with a "nuclear umbrella" for the EU a priori will mean an inevitable increase in military expenditures. However, sociology here plays Mr Macron's hand. According to regular surveys of the Ministry of Armed Forces, nuclear restraint policies support from 60% to 80% of the French.
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Thus, according to the results of a fresh survey by the Elabe Institute for BFMTV, 73% of the French no longer consider the United States an ally of their country "in the light of President Donald Trump's position, who took a course to rapprochement with Russia. " Another 76% of residents of the Fifth Republic are extremely afraid of spreading military conflict beyond the Ukrainian borders.
In addition, the study showed that most French (64%) are in favor of maintaining at the current level or even an increase in assistance to Ukraine. Approximately the same number of respondents supports the departure of peacekeepers after the fighting is over. Thus, it is obvious that in general, Emmanuel Macron's security initiatives do not disinfect with the local social moods.
Political scientist and missile programs specialist Alexander Kochetkov is convinced that the statements of the French president on their readiness to give their "atomic umbrella" to Europeans lie not in the military or the nuclear plane, but exclusively in the political plane. "Macron's words are a demonstration of France's readiness - the only, by the way, an EU nuclear country, to take on the role of a European leader.
It all sounds on the background of systematic statements from the White House about the possibility of US exit from NATO. In fact, Trump himself has repeatedly spoke of the intention of picking up American nuclear weapo Germany or Russian nuclear weapons, which is in Belarus, remains a manufacturer's weapon.
Noting that French nuclear weapons will not provide any individual security or military capabilities to the countries where it will be located, the expert added: "For example, the fact that Soviet nuclear weapons were in our territory in our territory, did not make Ukraine a nuclear state, because we could not return to the weapon. 5-6 nuclear potential in the world.
Even if French nuclear weapons after reaching peaceful arrangements are in Ukraine, we will neither be cold nor hot, says Alexander Kochetkov. In addition, the expert is convinced that France's nuclear weapons will move, for example, to neighboring Poland, the security situation in Europe will not actually change.
"Due to the fact that the ballistic rocket flies in the whole of Europe in a few minutes, which is asked, the difference from where it will fly - from Paris or Warsaw? Russia from China, seeks to surrender not only Ukraine, but also partly Europe as a zone of interests of the Russian Federation, " - concludes Alexander Kochetkov.
In turn, political scientist Yuri Bogdanov in conversation with focus makes the following accent: "Macron, as the most skillful and insightful European politician, realizes that NATO is de facto, as a structure in the coming years will be dead. Why? Because it has no reason to believe that there is an assault for Trump. The 5th article.
In general, Yuri Bogdanov believes that the inclusion of Ukraine in the system of European security and nuclear, including, is inevitable, especially because no one has such experience in the Armed Forces in Europe. Emphasizing that such integration lies exclusively in the temporal plane, the political scientist predicted that it was a matter in the coming years.
In a way, the expert stressed that for the sake of nuclear restraint in Europe, it does not require as many nuclear missiles as in the Russian Federation, because "to destroy Moscow or Peter" there are enough three or four missiles that are exactly the French. In addition, France, Yuri Bogdanov notes, is one of the countries that has a complete nuclear triad, so Macron-Merza's security initiatives should be treated more seriously.