Without NATO military bases: how the Alliance can increase the presence in Ukraine and whether it will lead to nuclear war
"We have discussed it. There is no consensus on the departure of troops. The resonant words of the French politician provoked a violent reaction. A number of Western countries leaders one by one opposed this perspective. Yes, German Chancellor Olaf Soltz said that in the future "there will be neither land troops nor soldiers who will be sent there by European states or NATO countries.
" Polish President Andrzej Duda, although confirmed that NATO soldiers were possible at a meeting in Paris in Paris, he was really discussing Ukraine, stressed that the discussion was "passionate" and "there was absolutely no consent. " And Sweden Prime Minister ULF Kristerson noted that "it is now [NATO's departure to Ukraine] is absolutely not relevant.
" At the same time, the politician added that each country has the right to discuss his or her own decisions to place troops outside his borders, which does not have a direct impact on NATO as a whole. NATO Stoltenberg responded to Macron and Secretary General. He noted that partners have been providing "unprecedented support for a long time", but the Alliance has no plans for NATO troops in Ukraine. "We have been doing this since 2014 and intensified after a full -scale invasion.
But there are no plans for NATO troops in Ukraine," Stoltenberg said. Macron's statement should be considered in two directions - political and practical, focus experts say. On the one hand, the term of office of the French guarantor is coming to an end and it will not run more. For this reason, Macron voices ambitious and outrageous proposals without looking at the electorate, says political scientist Oleg Posternak. "Macron has shown political vision.
He proved to be a strategic leader who wants to assert the ambition of France in the future European-continental security system. The essence of it is to get ahead preferences, and therefore can afford such radical statements, unrelated to the political tradition, "says focus Posterak. From a practical point of view, Macron's statement signals Ukraine that the event with it is added by the expert.
It also demonstrates that any minimal advantage of the Russian Federation on the battlefield associated with the promotion in the south and east of Ukraine may be blocked by the activity of the West. In addition, the French presidential statement should be tired of Europeans. "Once they do not want to fight, let them support financial and military assistance to Ukraine," Posternak adds.
Military expert Alexei Hizhak believes that the situation with security in Europe has changed since in the United States, the statements of Donald Trump's presidential candidate were getting louder in the United States that the Americans are uninteresting outside the country. "The threat of war with the Russian Federation remains high, and the presence of the US in the EU is diminishing. Americans are less interested in Europeans.
EU feel that they will have to resolve security issues themselves and think they can do in NATO to support Ukraine," he said Expert in a conversation with focus. The idea of sending NATO troops to Ukraine could be discussed as part of bilateral security guarantees that Kiev signs with Western countries. This explanation was voiced by Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fitzo before meeting European leaders in Paris.
The politician did not say what purpose Western troops wanted to send to Ukraine, but stressed that he saw the risk of a significant escalation of war, if such a decision was made. "Bilateral agreements are not about joint defense obligations, but any other presence of Alliance soldiers in Ukraine is possible.
So far, NATO military bases are not said, but I assume that they could discuss the possible NATO citizens in the Ukrainian army, Western Crews that will serve complex types of equipment in Ukraine, defense plants, as well as air defense umbrellas near our country, "-said Hizhak. In Russia, the prospect of sending NATO soldiers to Kiev was appreciated in the usual style.
The Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that if the Alliance sends troops to Ukraine, "it will be not possible to speak about the probability, but of the inevitability of the direct clash of Russia and NATO. " According to the Hedgehog, the Kremlin from the beginning of a full -scale invasion believes that NATO is indirectly participating in the war, supplying weapons to Kiev.
However, if the Alliance sends its soldiers to Ukraine, the criterion of nuclear war will be really important in this matter. "If weapons of one nuclear country are used against another nuclear country, it is a direct clash. However, the presence of the Western military in Ukraine as repair crews will not be the reason for the nuclear war," the Hedgehog explains.
The expert also notes that Europeans do not need permission to send their troops to Ukraine when it comes to the decision of individual countries. "Europeans have always had military presence in different parts of the world. For example, France is in Africa. The US cannot formally limit such actions, only politically. But now Americans say to Europeans to solve safety issues themselves, they can act as they think it is necessary" , - sums up the expert.