Incidents

The Kremlin is threatened. Putin's mobilization has turned a flashy despotism, all over Russia is already the first signs of public anger - isw

The Kremlin's despotic approach to partial mobilization, although it can close the mobilized "quota" established by Moscow, but is unlikely to ensure the creation of effective troops and will cause significant dissatisfaction with the country at the cost of a slight benefit for the Russian army. This opinion is voiced by analysts of the American Institute of War Study on September 22.

The first days of mobilization in Russia showed that the Kremlin chose a despotic approach to it and immediately began to openly violate Vladimir Putin and Sergei Shoigu parameters of this process. Russian citizens are forcibly and under any reason, despite the experience of the service, as well as demonstratively mobilize a few participants in anti-war protests.

This approach is likely to increase internal dissatisfaction with the already unpopular in the Russian Federation by the West of the Russian authorities, experts of ISW are predicted. Video of the day they predict that the Kremlin will be "disproportionately large" to mobilize representatives of non -Russian peoples and ethnogroups, as well as immigrant communities.

In Moscow, the ideas of immigrants for immigrants from Central Asia, who have received Russian citizenship over the last ten years, are already voicing the idea of ​​deprivation of such citizenship. And local officials are likely to mobilize men regardless of their military status. Some subjects of the Russian Federation, such as the Republic of Sakh (Yakutia) and Kursk region are already introducing rules that prohibit reservists to leave their permanent residence.

ISW emphasizes the first signs of public anger across Russia in response to government actions, including ATS-Info on protests in 42 cities of the country, as well as cases of arson of military enlistment offices and buildings of local administration edges). “The Kremlin is likely to suppress such protests in the coming days.

However, […] the flashy ignoring of even the power of mobilization parameters can contribute to the alienation of those sections of the Russian public that were previously more tolerant of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, when it was less concerned with them personally, ”the experts of the institute said.

Isw also states that the Kremlin probably tried to diminish the value of the exchange of captives with Ukraine, having made it the same day when Putin announced partial mobilization to reduce the criticism of the Kremlin prisoners of Ukraine. The exchange was expected to be an "extremely unpopular" step among Russian nationalists and military bloggers.