Putin's miscalculation and his generals. The fatal mistake of Russia
Even under Russian laws, they are already illegal: they were printed in the summer, so the printing house did not have time to repaint the Ukrainian south in the colors of the Russian flag. From the first day of the war, Russia hoped that it could split Ukraine. She tried to kill a wedge between east and west. Between the army and the political leadership.
Putin called on the Ukrainian generals "to take power in their own hands", and his propagandists were stuck in the fate of Kyivans, who "groan under the fifth Galician. " Moscow has so long assured itself of the artificiality of the Ukrainian state that it continues to hope that Ukrainian internal fences will be higher than the serf wall around the perimeter. When it turned out that no one considers the Russian army a "liberator", it turned into a "wizard army".
Infrastructure rocket strokes are an attempt to take the rear to exchange its well -being for negotiations. At the same time, it is all the same attempt to kill a wedge between the civilian population and the army. Moscow dreams that Ukrainian residents perceive the lack of light and water as a result of actions of the Ukrainian army. Like, this is "for the Crimean Bridge", "For the Black Sea Fleet" and "For Kherson".
However, the global Russian misunderstanding of the nature of the Ukrainian state was manifested here. Missile blows had to break Ukraine, but they only risk uniting. There is no change - and the responsibility for the cold and darkness of Ukrainian citizens is in no hurry to put on the success of their own army. Instead of internal trenches, a general ethical circuit is created. And the ubiquity of rocket strokes gives the unity of the fate of the frontal regions and those in the deep rear.
The rocket terror was thought of as a disconnection tool, but turned into its opposite. I remember how at the beginning of the war in many cities it has become a practice of light. Then its meaning was not fully understood: outside the forties of the last century, the planes do not drop bombs on light spots, and rockets fly on coordinates and trajectories. We joked that the only meaning of such is discipline. Lightwill and curfew as a evening reminder of the war.
From the moment Russia began to beat on Ukrainian TPPs, household light discipline - in the widest sense - has made practical sense. The utility market has finally lost market laws. The habit of trick can no longer justify the readiness to pay for utilities. Kilowatt began to cost much more than the payment registered. Willingness to save now has become a solidarity test. Willingness to help neighbors - too.
For decades, Ukraine has perceived the Second World War as the "General War" of its own history. Its scale and ubiquity erased the boundary between the rear and the front. Her totality gave birth to a variety of "family stories" - which, in all differences, had something in common. And now Russia is doing everything to make the current war be a new main war for Ukraine and Ukrainians. Whatever apolitical you may be - it is difficult to hide in the domestic comfort lacuna when there is no lacuna.
Whatever the man of the world you think you are - it is difficult to ignore the fact that you are ready to kill for your citizenship. You no longer need six handshakes to get acquainted with the family of the dead soldier. Volunteering ceased to be an exception, turning into the rule. Hundreds of thousands of soldiers in the trenches. Millions of their relatives in the rear without light. In such a situation, the language of your lullaby and the authorship of books in the home library already loses.
The differences become secondary, and the past goes to the periphery, when it is time for the subjective present. Russia has been able to ask the most important questions before Ukraine - and now it is surprised to watch the residents of the neighboring country give it solidarity answers. However, it is no wonder. Moscow has so convinced itself of the artificiality of the Ukrainian state that it did not consider it necessary to study it.
Even the experience of 2014 did not lead to the emergence of expert expertise on the Ukrainian issue. The Kremlin never learned to evaluate our country soberly and without ideological tinsel. Ukraine in Russia was considered something at first clear and simple, and therefore relatives near Zhytomyr, walks in Khreshchatyk or rest in Odessa were considered a pass to experts and a entrance ticket to TV channels. In the end, the slogan was replaced by the analysis, and the hatch is examination.
Moscow is likely to think that time continues to work on it. That the fatigue of the Ukrainian rear will accumulate. That the current solidarity of citizens is fueled by victories at the front, and winter time can turn the war into a positional one. That sooner or later confrontation between the enemy and its agents can change the internal "witch hunting".
Probably, Russia considers the current aggregate condition of Ukraine an exception - and hopes that the focus will give way to irritation, and inspiration - apathy. It will be a mistake to make her see the correctness of such a prediction. Yes, winter risks freezing the intensity of the army promotion. Yes, frosts can slow down the period of infrastructure recovery. "This rain has long", no matter what miracles were told.