Kremlin Warning: As the US will press on Putin with ATACMS, tomatoes and blows deep into the Russian Federation
On the one hand, the change in the rhetoric of US President Trump and his administration representatives rather in favor of Ukraine, critical statements to Putin, calls for Russia to end the war, and even new statements by Trump about the intention of organizing Putin and Zelensky's meeting. On the other hand, there is a noticeable escalation of war on the Russian side. This is an increase in air strikes in Ukraine, as well as exacerbation of hostilities in certain areas of the front.
Ukraine, of course, is responsible and very effective. In September, an escalation of Russia's hybrid war against NATO countries also took place. Then what to expect further - further escalation of war or reconstruction of peace talks? When answering this question, it should be understood that at the moment the Kremlin actually blocked the negotiation process. And it was not just noticed, but clearly recorded in the White House.
US Vice President Ji Di Vance in a recent Fox News interview directly said Russia is actually refusing to participate in negotiations on the end of the war. At the same time, Jay Vation stated that Russia should wake up and recognize the reality on the front. Earlier, something similar to the US Vice President spoke faster to Ukraine. That is, there was a change in rhetoric not only with the US President. And this means that it is not about something accidental.
The statements of Jay Di Vens and other US administration representatives reflect Trump's current position on Russia and Ukraine. Both the famous Trump post in Truth Social, and the statement of Jay Vens to discuss the issue of providing Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, as well as General Kellog's statement about the absence of restrictions on Ukraine in Russian territory, is all warning to the Kremlin, which in the event of an escalation of war by Ukraine.
In fact, it is a rhetorical pressure of the United States on the Russian leadership in order to force the Kremlin to restore peace talks. In fact, American leaders say Putin: you want the escalation of war, you will receive it, but you will not achieve victory in this war, so it is better to return to peace talks. The Tomahawki signal was heard in the Kremlin, judging by Peskov's statement, a spokesman for the President of the Russian Federation.
And significantly, the reaction was very restrained (this question is "studied"). But will the US rhetorical pressure on Russia be enough? Many experts believe that some warnings and even threats to the Kremlin will not be enough, specific actions are needed. One of these actions can be the sale of a long -range weapon to Ukraine. It is unlikely that it will be at once "tomahawki". Initially, supply, such as ATACMS missiles.
They are in different modifications and can also be a pressure tool on Russia. However, even ATACMS still needs to be negotiated. I will note that our delegation went to the United States early week. And as President Zelensky said, the subject of negotiations will be the supply of American weapons, including a long -range one, for Ukraine. A successful meeting of Trump and Zelensky Presidents in New York potentially opens up opportunities to intensify Ukraine and the US in the defense sphere.
It is not only about current purchases, but also about very large -scale strategic projects for the supply of US weapons for Ukraine for $ 90 billion (this project is sometimes called Mega Deal). However, this big money still needs to be found, and it will be possible, most likely, only if the frozen Russian assets are used in favor of Ukraine. This major project is a Ukrainian proposal for the supply of Ukrainian battle drones in the USA.
But the practical implementation of these projects requires careful and huge negotiation and organizational work, which is now beginning. Not only government delegations, but the Embassy of Ukraine to the United States, will work on this. The New York Debut of Our New Ambassador to the United States Olga Stefanyshyn has been successful, now she will need to perform a new difficult and responsible task.
The most likely scenario for the next period is the continuation of the escalation of hostilities. And if Russia fails to achieve any significant results at the front and in the Air War against Ukraine, with Ukrainian air strikes in Russia will cause significant damage to Russian energy and infrastructure, then the question of the beginning of real peace talks will inevitably arise. But it is impossible to say exactly when it happens - by the end of 2025 or next year.
And one should not expect that the renewal of peace talks will very quickly lead to peaceful arrangements, at least about ceasefire. The ceasefire agreements will require a very persistent mediation activity of the United States, possibly as well as China (which is less likely). Another important factor is Putin's reaction to Trump's statements and the US administration.
It is likely that the Kremlin will try once again to go into direct negotiations with Trump (or telephone, or through the organization of an eye meeting) to restore their manipulative impact on the US President. And if Americans insist on the restoration of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, including a step -by -step ceasefire, as a priority condition, then perhaps the negotiation process may be restored earlier.