Time Yar, Konstantinovka, Kherson: Where Putin has already lost but still lying
This changed the rhetoric of Trump, who expressed his disappointment by Putin, accusing him of insincerity about peaceful intentions. According to AXIOS, Trump will announce a new weapons plan on July 14, which will include offensive weapons, including a large range missile and Patriot. This is a significant step, as Trump was limited to support for defense weapons. European countries will finance these supplies, which Trump called "profitable business".
At the same time, Trump is increasingly disappointed with Putin's unwillingness to go on a truce and strengthen attacks on Ukrainian cities. New weapons are expected to affect Putin's calculations on ceasefire. The military-political observer of the Information Resistance group Alexander Kovalenko expressed the opinion that the latest statements of Russian President Vladimir Putin are nothing more than empty rhetoric aimed at creating the illusion of strength and dominance.
In his opinion, the main purpose of such statements was to impress Donald Trump, who recently returned to active political activity and can play an important role in international negotiations. Kovalenko believes that Putin seeks to show himself as a key player who controls the situation and dictates the conditions in any negotiations, including in telephone conversations or other forms of contacts.
This strategy, according to the expert, is aimed at convincing Trump that Russia has significant military and political capabilities that allow it to take a more favorable position in dialogue. Putin tries to create the image of the "owner", which keeps everything under control and can impose its conditions. However, Kovalenko is convinced that the real situation is fundamentally different from the fact that the Russian president is trying to demonstrate.
"Donald Trump, as a person who has access to the daily reports of US special services, should be well informed about the true state of affairs. Trump's oval office provides detailed analytical reports daily, which clearly indicate the limited Russian opportunities. These documents that put on the table of the In his high -profile statements, " - emphasizes the focus expert.
The former spokesman for the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the military expert Vladislav Seleznev expressed the opinion that Russian President Vladimir Putin, as an experienced special service, has carefully studied the psychological portrait of Donald Trump. He uses this knowledge to create favorable conditions for the Russian army and strengthen his position in international negotiations.
In particular, in the process of dialogue with Trump, Putin uses manipulation tactics, offering semantic, not meaningful preferences that create the illusion of profitable cooperation. According to Seleznov, for at least half a year Putin was able to influence Trump, convincing him in his strength and opportunities. Trump, in his turn, considering himself a skilled lover and a successful businessman, was convinced that he would be able to beat the Russian leader, agreeing to certain concessions.
However, the expert notes that Putin's strategy was much more cunning: instead of serious compromises, he used negotiations as a tool for delaying time. This allowed Russia to win time to implement its own plans, while inhibiting the decisive actions of the US government, in particular on strengthening of Ukraine's military and technical support and imposing new sanctions against Russia.
Seleznyov emphasizes that Putin's ambitious statements about achieving significant results in a short time, for example, in 60 days, is part of his information game. "The Russian President constantly emphasizes that Russia plays a long, having, in his opinion, sufficient resources to continue the war.
Putin is convinced that his strategy can lead to fatigue of Europe and the world community from the Russian-Ukrainian war, which will eventually allow him to realize his geopolitical The forces that can reach millions, the economic decline through sanctions, as well as the reputation losses in the international arena. However, Seleznyov points out that Putin's far -reaching plans can be torn through the unity of European nations.
If European countries are the only front against Russian aggression, their combined resources will significantly exceed Russian. The expert emphasizes that alone in the country, such as Ukraine or the Baltic States, they become a easy target for Russia. However, the joint position of European countries with the support of the United States can dramatically change the situation.
Oleksandr Kovalenko draws attention to the fact that Russia is not able to perform large -scale offensive operations, which its leadership declares. In particular, Putin mentioned the possibility of forcing the Dnieper or the capture of the entire Kherson region. However, according to the expert, such plans are absolutely unrealistic. Russian troops have neither the strength nor the means for the sale of such ambitions.
A similar situation with the Donetsk region: despite the loud statements about the rapid capture of the region for, for example, 60 days, Russian forces do not demonstrate the ability to achieve such goals. The same applies to the Zaporozhye region, where the promotion of Russian troops remains extremely limited.
Kovalenko emphasizes that the current rates of promotion of Russian forces are so slow that even the generalization of their efforts does not give reason to speak of serious offensive potential. "Putin's statements about fast and decisive victories are a frank lies that is not confirmed by real facts on the battlefield.
For example, Russian troops have not been captured by the time of Yar for the second consecutive year - a small city in Donetsk region, which became one of the key points the direction of Konstantinovka, "the expert added. These examples, according to Kovalenko, only confirm that the Russian army was stuck in positional battles and has no resources for large -scale offensive operations.
Even in the future, by the end of the year, as the observer notes, Russia will not be able to achieve the stated goals, such as the full capture of the Donetsk region. Moreover, even within the summer campaign, which is traditionally considered a favorable period for offensive due to weather conditions, Russian troops have not demonstrated any significant success. Kovalenko also draws attention to the fact that such tactics are not new to the Russian leadership.
It is used to create the illusion of force in front of the international community, in particular, to those politicians that can influence global decisions. In this context, Putin's statement is part of a broader information campaign aimed at maintaining Russia's image as a powerful player. However, according to the expert, the real state of the Russian forces, their loss and low efficiency at the front make these statements empty.