Belgorod! What to do with Russian territories released by RDC fighters
In early June, the fighters of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDC) and the Legion "Freedom of Russia" (LSR) declared their intention to organize the raids deep into the territory of the Russian Federation and to become entrenched in areas where local authorities fled and people left their homes. At the same time, the governor of the region Vyacheslav Gladkov was asked to come to negotiations and pick up captured soldiers.
The governor did not appear for the meeting, and in a few days reported that the situation in the Belgorod region was under full control of power. At the same time, on June 7, a video was posted in the RDC telegram channel, where the soldiers were informed that they were kept under the control of the village of Nova Tavolzhanka in Belgorod region. The Russian army is unable to hold a full counterattack to displace opposition forces.
If the Central authorities at least reacted in the previous raids- in the evening news they showed destroyed military equipment, which later proved to be fake production, and liquidated fighters who were not shown on the camera (for the pathos and scale of the picture, they sent "heavy artillery" in the face Colonel Alexander Lapin - Chief of the General Staff - the first deputy commander -in -chief of the Land Forces of the Russian Federation), now, in the Kremlin are trying not to notice the Belgorod region.
Moreover, propaganda on the air of popular political shows deliberately began to distort the name of the city of Shebekino, calling it - Shemyakino, Shmakino. Recall that the city is fully evacuated due to hostilities. According to the former employee of the Security Service of Ukraine Ivan Stupak, the Russian authorities cannot extinguish the fire on the spot, so he chooses the option to silence the situation.
In turn, the coordinator of the Security of the Center for Political Research "Doctrine" Gleb Parfyonov believes that the Russian authorities have launched a campaign to engage in the Russians before the war. "The Kremlin is not profitable to somehow illuminate what the war came to their homes. You can even see in Moscow, how they removed everything that could be reminiscent of conflict.
This is all explained by the fact that the Russians soon elections to the State Duma, and in general the Kremlin favorably favorably to make a completely routine of war. The population is perceived as something everyday, " - says Parfyonov's focus. The first raids of Russian volunteer formations were to enter the territory of the Russian Federation, take photos and record videos. Currently, RDC and LSR fighters are kept under control of the territory of about 10 km km in the Belgorod region.
It is clear that the volume of the region is too little, but it is a manifestation that the authorities do not control the situation and the army cannot protect. It is worth noting that the redeployment to the region of additional units of the Russian army did not give the result - volunteer units continue to organize raids. According to political scientist Oleg Lisny, now in the Belgorod region, the Kremlin is attacked by his favorite weapon, which he has no answer.
"The central government of Russia is not ready for decision -making and got into a situation where its weapons were returned against it. That is, all these putin's tubs about" Ihtamnet "and" Wargages. " Passports came not to rob and kill, but to release their homeland from the regime and to restore the constitutional order, " - says Lisny's focus. On June 6, answering the journalist's questions, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky called fighting in Belgorod region Putin's problem.
Thus, he emphasized once again that Ukraine is not related to what is happening in the Russian Federation. "Ukraine is not required, it is not at war in Russia. We are fighting exclusively in our independent territories and freed only our lands. We do not want someone else, but we will not give our states. Experts surveyed by focus: for Ukraine the success of the Belgorod RDC raids means the creation of a safe and demilitarized zone.
This can protect the border areas from shelling from the territory of the Russian Federation. First of all, Kharkiv region. However, it is not necessary to expect that the RDC fighters will be able to take control of the whole Belgorod region - they do not have the necessary resource for this purpose. "I critically evaluate and see no prospects for volunteer Russian detachments to get control of the Belgorod region.
First, their number is very small for such operations, so it is not for deep penetrating measures. Second, in those settlements that will be under Control, it is necessary to leave units of the military, which are not enough. Third, in the field it is necessary to create administrations, to provide the population with fuel, products, access to medicine. This requires complete complicity of local authorities, "-explains Focus Stupak.
According to Parfyonov, without the help of the Armed Forces it is impossible to take control of the border areas. For Ukraine, the main thing is that there are no Russian long -range weapons in these territories. A kind of safety area is 120 km deep. It can be both a demililitarized area and a complete control. Political scientist Oleg Lisny notes that events in the Belgorod region create a precedent for the Russian authorities, which can later have its consequences.
Moscow's behavior is clearly demonstrated by the fact that the problems of the hinterland are not interested in the central power. The Kremlin has no victories on the front, but there are attacks on Moscow and ruble, they are closer and clearer Putin. "What we now see is a classic break of the system - the center has no business to Belgorod region, and local authorities cannot do anything.
Moscow has long instilled in the rule that the initiative is punishable, so the regions are paralyzed to the regions. the center. It is a very interesting precedent that shows that Russia is not a monolithic, and the state machine is well guided. That is, the mechanism already has a failure that can have its consequences in the future, "he says.
According to him, after the Belgorod region, the Russian movement should urge other regions to join them with theses that "ruble does not want to defend them. " Ideally, you need good media support to show how the soldiers meet with "bread-salt" in the villages, what Putin dreamed of in Ukraine, only vice versa. "Everything looks very good, but I emphasize - there is no civil society in Russia, and the people do not want to fight for their will," the political scientist says.
According to Stupak, RDS and LSR fighters will not aim to get control of the whole region. On the contrary, they will continue to tease the authorities of the Russian Federation, such raids are possible in Kursk and Bryansk regions, but not more. Meanwhile, in the General Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, the lack of a Kremlin reaction to events in the Belgorod region may indicate a more radical solution to this problem.