Under pressure of elite. Does Putin give up power himself and who his or her successor is - correspond to experts

Oleksiy Izhak, Head of the Regional Policy Sector of the Ukrainian National Institute for Strategic Studies (NISD) considers the most likely scenario of the end of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin his rejection of power. According to Izhak, Putin is likely to move away from power through old age. This process can accelerate failures in the war with Ukraine and pressure from elites suffering from sanctions. Video day will soon be 70 years old.

For the first time in 10 years, he did not enter the ice in the Gala-match of the Night Hockey League, and since the beginning of the war against Ukraine he went only a few foreign business trips-visited Tajikistan and the Caspian summit in Ashhabad. In the capital of Turkmenistan, his colleagues separated him a huge table-this has already become the norm for any official meetings of Putin. In any case, Putin, according to the NISD analyst, will prepare a heir.

Such, according to the former deputy chairman of the SBU Viktor Yagun, may be the eldest son of the current secretary of the Russian Council-44-year-old Dmitry Patrushev, who heads the Ministry of Agriculture. At the same time, Izhak is convinced that the Kremlin elites will break the soft transit of the power to the "heir", since the Russian political system is tense to the limit of a lot of internal contradictions.

So far, only Putin's presence is restrained from the open struggle between individual groups. But as soon as it does not, peace will disappear. And in this underworld will win the strongest. At the same time, the source of HB in GUR believes: "It is unlikely that Putin may encourage the environment. " He recalled that in the USSR, the Secretary of General was dying of their own death or becoming victims of a coup.

However, there are no signs of preparation in Russia so far, says a military intelligence officer. However, he said, the rebellions against dictators have one feature - the world learns about them only after they were either implemented or suppressed. Yugan believes that Putin will leave the Kremlin just as it had to do the Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev.

It is said that in 1964 several representatives of the Soviet top on hunt discussed the plan of removal of the leader and in a few days staged an obstruction at a meeting of the Presidium of the Party. As a result, Khrushchev was forced to leave his position and voluntarily retired.

In the case of Putin in the role of "hunters"-speakers, the President of Rosnafta Igor Sechin, Secretary of the Russian Federation Mykola Patrushev, and even FSB Director Alexander Bortnikov and Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoiga. Yun. arranged so that the term of Putin's stay in the Kremlin depends on his desire, ”he said.