Storm Shadow, ATACMS and Orezhnik go to battle: whether the critical phase of war in Ukraine has come
According to him, special attention should be paid to the strengthening of the Eastern borders, cooperation in the development of air defense and long -range missiles, as well as to intensify the joint industrial programs of the MIC. Military officials, soldiers and analysts in conversation with Financial Times (FT) journalists were considered the next few months as a critical stage of confrontation.
Ukraine will try to stabilize defense and strengthen its position in case the new US President Donald Trump makes her negotiation with Moscow. Kyiv expects that the offensive of the Russian Federation will gain momentum. According to the Ukrainian military official, the Southern and Eastern Fronts send more medical staff in anticipation of heavy fighting in the next weeks.
Russia prepares forces up to 50,000 soldiers, in particular from North Korea to discard the Armed Forces from the Kursk region. If Ukraine stops Russia's offensive and intercepts the initiative by the time of Trump's entry, it will prove the ability to fight and win. This will help to convince the US President to continue support, say FT high -ranking Ukrainian officials.
The Ambassador of Ukraine to Brazil Andriy Melnyk expressed a similar assessment of military trends: the next eight weeks before Trump's inauguration will be the most difficult in the history of Ukraine after 1991. Kyiv can be imposed on "some decisions", so it is now important to actively work with the future president and his team as they are making approaches to Ukraine. The United Kingdom has recently decided to secretly put Ukraine in Ukraine with a few dozen winged Storm Shadow missiles.
Deliveries took place a few weeks ago because the long -range missiles had ended in Kiev, Bloomberg sources reported. The British authorities did not formally confirm the supply of missiles. The Kremlin has repeatedly called the strike rockets in the Russian territory "new escalation" and NATO's approach to direct participation in the war.
At the same time, Western missiles for the purposes in Russia and the demonstration of the last "Oresshnik" in the Dnieper will not qualitatively affect the course of the war, according to Ukrainian political scientist Vladimir Fesenko. According to him, the statements about the critical phases sounded at different periods of the Russian-Ukrainian war. But the most acute stage, of course, was at the beginning of the Russian invasion-in February-March 2022.
"Next we witnessed difficult periods: Russian attacks in eastern Ukraine that began in the fall of 2023. Now we have a problematic situation, but I would not speak about the turning point. There are no prerequisites, because if we keep the front and Kursk bridgehead before the negotiations, then Not everything is lost, "he thinks in conversation with focus.
The objective concept of criticality lies in the failure of the front, when the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation occupy Kramatorsk and Slavyansk, will be approached closer to the Dnieper or Zaporizhzhia. The exchange of rocket strokes has no strong impact on the course of war. The test of the Russian "Osshnik" in the Dnieper is a signal of the event, but not an attempt to gain advantage on the front line.
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation use a window window that appeared to Trump's inauguration, which is visible from events in eastern Ukraine. Moscow seeks to achieve a strong position before future negotiations, the deputy director of the Center for Army Research, Conversion and Disarmament Michael Samus is convinced. "Oshshnik" strikes, attempts to break the front in eastern Ukraine, massive missile attacks - all this is a puzzle of one whole.
Russia will no longer be able to defeat Ukraine. Different reasons, "the analyst comments focus. Russia wants to present current events as a critical phase of confrontation, while threatening the use of nuclear weapons. Preparing for communications of Russian President Vladimir Putin and Trump continue, notes Samus. According to the expert, it is not necessary to fully trust negative military forecasts.
Since April 2024, Western journalists wrote about the fall of Pokrovsk, and a month and a half ago there was a message that the "front was sprinkled". "But the breakthrough does not look the way the situation in the Donbass looks. We will remind, on November 25 in social networks wrote about the alleged offenses of the invaders in the area of the village of Kozacha Lopan near Kharkiv.