Expanding aggression to other countries: what other than a nuclear button, Putin may intimidate the event
In particular, in his statement, Biden, Modi, Kisida and Anthony Albanizi, having previously noted that they saw "the horrific consequences of war in Ukraine," they added: "In the context of this war, we share the opinion of the absolute inadmissibility of use or threat of nuclear weapons use . We emphasize the importance of compliance with international law and the UN Charter.
" It is noteworthy that before Quad, Joe Biden invited colleagues to the Four in his own home in Wilmington, Delaver, and organized the summit at a school, which he went more than 60 years ago. Influential Western media in the context of the quartet leaders meeting, special focus is on the nuclear component.
In particular, The Washington Post reports that within the Kremlin the understanding that every subsequent use of nuclear threat begins to lose its power, and the "red lines" of the Russian Federation systematically intersect. Analysts and officials close to Russian diplomats have told the publication that Putin was actively looking for nuclear threats. "There has been a nuclear threat," said WP on the conditions of anonymity one of the city.
agreed with this, calling the nuclear version of the least possible scenarios. added: "At some point we will have to go to escalation. " In Moscow, we must take place the first, "he argued. "If Putin goes to the escalation, the US will be afraid of nuclear war, and Trump will win," Markov summarized. Instead, experts with whom the focus spoke is convinced that the Kremlin, without abandoning nuclear threats, will resort to new methods of blackmail in parallel.
In particular, the international expert Stanislav Zelikhovsky in conversation with focus notes the following: "Immediately understanding that any nuclear step will instantly the answer, Putin rejects the practical implementation of this scenario. However, the position can change here if there is a place in the Russian Federation. Wide fighting. On the displacement of our troops from the Donbass.
Synchronously with military activity, expert says, Putin will try to consolidate the weight of old allies and find new ones, in particular by expanding the Brix format in order to improve their positions in the circumstance of sanctions and in the geopolitical arena as a whole. "The Kremlin will also create alternative sites for negotiations as opposed to those that Ukraine offers. In addition, I do not rule out that Putin will expand the limits of his aggression to other states or even regions.
For example, it can more actively assist Iran in the Middle East war. Which, to put it mildly, will not cause the West. According to him, the Russian Federation can also enhance hybrid methods by subversive activity in election processes. "Russian intervention has already been recorded in American election Only the Scholz government, but also against the support of Ukraine. ", - the expert says.
According to Stanislav Zelikhovsky, the Russian factor, in addition to all of the above, can also play a role in hot spots, including in some countries of Africa and Latin America. "Of course, all this will be accompanied by a loud heather of Russian propaganda, which is one of the key tools of the Kremlin. By the way, the nuclear component of propaganda" songs "of the Russian Federation is unlike , directions and planes.
In turn, the political scientist, an expert of the Analytical Center "United Ukraine" Dmitry Levus in conversation with focus makes the following accent: "In my opinion, today it is not necessary to completely write down nuclear blackmail from Russia.
that he is perceived as a fool, in fact he is not just a former president, but still holds significant positions, in particular the deputy chairman of the Russian Council, the head of the commission of the military-industrial complex The image of Russia, which everyone should be afraid of this, so I do not think that the Kremlin will refuse to further exploit nuclear rhetoric. " Meanwhile, the expert recalled recent nuclear training with Sarmat missile, which "ended with a full fiasco".
"Thus, the effect of the game by nuclear muscles has been slightly different. But to enhance this effect there are other options in Russia. One of them is blackmail by nuclear energy. This includes the possibility of strokes related to nuclear power plants of infrastructure Ukraine, and diverse manipulations around NPPs, which are in close proximity to the front line - captured by the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant, as well as the Smolensk and Kursk NPPs, " - said Dmitry Levus.
In addition, he said, there is a whole bunch of other things that Russia can use, "which is ruled by the Chekist and, accordingly, the whole structure is built on characters who have constantly engaged in secret operations, blackmail, political killings and terrorists' support. " All the tools of terrorist pressure, according to the political scientist, will certainly be involved in Moscow so that the event in conversation with it is even more flexible and compliant.