Putin presses on Lukashenko, but he does not want to help the army to attack north of Ukraine - Sharp (video)

The Russians themselves do not have the strength to assault several armies in Kiev. In addition, it is very difficult to attack the north through defensive structures and the problematic terrain, says military observer David Sharp.

Attack from Belarus on the territory of Ukraine is impossible without a numerous Russian group, and the attack by the forces of one Belarusian army will be insufficient, despite all the efforts of President of the Russian Federation Putin to click on the self -proclaimed President of Belarus Lukashenko. Even at the beginning of a large -scale invasion, the Russians failed to fully move to Kiev and it was one of the components of the failure of the Russian plan for the capture of Ukraine.

In an interview with the focus, a military observer David Sharp told. In his opinion, at that time Ukraine was not properly ready for the offensive from Belarus, but now another situation. Now, given the protective structures and in general, extremely difficult relief in the form of forests and swamps, such an offensive will become very difficult. "In addition, the transfer of truly great forces in mass mode will take a considerable time," notes Sharp.

-Of course, taking into account modern intelligence systems, including satellite, such global movement of troops will be spotted in a timely manner. " According to the expert, the Western intelligence does not see such accumulation of enemy troops at the border of Ukraine and Belarus. In addition, these armies and combat units should appear at all, and now at least a third of Russian troops from the front in other areas would have to be removed, and this does not happen.

"New parts and compounds are made from people who have to go through and undergo combat coordination, and they must be provided with everything they need," says Sharp. "There are so many people on such a scale without mobilizing the Russians to gather simply. " But in the case of Lukashenko, of course, the ear should be alert and monitoring trends in anticipation of unpleasant surprises, says a military analyst.

However, in the case of something can be surprised by Lukashenko, because, for example, the Mozyr Oil Refinery - the most important object for the economy of Belarus and to some extent for Russia - is like a palm for Ukrainian drones. It should be reminded that on April 2, self -proclaimed President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko stated that Belarus does not want to fight, but the necessary preparation and weapons of the military units of this country is carried out in an enhanced mode.