"Get Putin." Why from the half -measures and timid support of Ukraine the event should be proceeded to the removal
Video of NV Day proposes to get acquainted with the full translation of his new column, published in The Oberver weekly. *** Strategic goals in Ukraine - to repel Russia's invasion, to restore national sovereignty [Ukraine] and to win global democracy over "Dark forces" - were clearly presented by US President Joe Biden in Warsaw in March, and later supported UK.
Much less clarity has always been whether they really expect to achieve these goals - especially if you take into account not the heroic refusal of NATO to direct participation [in the war in support of Ukraine]. Now there is an inconvenient, even disturbing question: do Ukrainians be preparing for a knife in the back this winter? Almost six months after the war, the growth of the rupture between the rhetoric [West] and reality reaches a potentially fatal depth.
Public indignation about the invasion is inferior to the place of concern on the verge of panic - because of the threatening effects of war for energy, food and living costs. This, in turn, nourishes doubts about the stability of the West. How long will it take before the already frantic unity of Europe falls, if (or more precisely) Russia will finally block the gas valve? Biden described the war as part of the global struggle between good and evil.
"We are by your side," he told the Ukrainians [in March in Warsaw]. "The only thing that will make Russia change the course - the price of the fastest and as hard as possible costs. " His speech was mostly made up of embarrassed phrases, soothing and "rounded". Despite unprecedented sanctions, Russia has not changed its course. In unison Boris Johnson, in March, he made a meaningful March that "the act of aggression of Vladimir Putin should fail, and this failure must be obvious.
" However, Johnson spoke about the long -term prospects, exaggerating Britain. "We cannot allow the Kremlin to grasp a piece of an independent country and bring it tremendous human suffering," he said. But since then, this is what happens. In April, Liz TRASS resorted to even more bizarre excess promises. The UK Foreign Minister and the next Prime Minister had demanded that Russia leave Crimea and return to the borders by 2014.
As if the Crazy Generalissimusmus, the trust swore: "We will move further and as soon as possible to displace Russia from all over Ukraine. " Who are these "we"? "You" and whose army? The point is undoubtedly. Last week, the United States pledged to provide Ukraine with another $ 1 billion military assistance package, which resulted in the total amount of Baiden's total amount to Baiden reached $ 9. 8 billion. Similar to UK exceeds £ 2. 3 billion. EU countries have also significantly increased weapons.
Without this assistance, Ukraine would be defeated. But Biden's cautious perseverance in the desire to avoid direct confrontation [from the Russian Federation] means that although Russia may eventually not win, it is unlikely to lose. The war looks like a pan that is steaming on fire and does not boil. Everything could be quite different if Western politicians gained the courage to actively stand on the side of Ukraine in February-March.
The initial chaotic offensive of the Russians to Kyiv made large columns of troops vulnerable to air attacks. At the moment when Putin expected a quick and easy victory, a convincing demonstration of "shock and trendet" in a pentagon -typical style could stop all the invasion in the embryo. The reasoning in the spirit "but if" did not bring victories in the wars.
However, for history, it is worth noting that [from the event], other initial opportunities were fired, including the idea of NATO -protected cities and safe "harbor" for civilians in Ukraine. The timely actions of the Navy of the Western countries could prevent the irresponsible Russian Food blockade of the Black Sea, which is still a danger to the world. Many innocent lives could be saved. Now it can be too late, though not one Biden is guilty of it.
Despite all his eloquent and passionate speeches, Johnson was satisfied with the refusal of Washington to join the battle. Similarly, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholt. Such unanimity exacerbates the suspicion that at heart they do not really believe that the purpose of the event to humble Russia is achievable or even desirable.
Given the likely lack of a path to a complete military victory, all available to Kiev options seem reflective - to a greater or lesser extent. Despite the expected offensive in the south, the Courage of the Armed Forces in the Defense of the Donbass and the explosions in Crimea last week Ukraine - as well as the West - faces the prospect of a brutal long -term war for exhaustion.
In parallel, the pressure [on Ukraine] in favor of ceasefire or some peace agreement will only increase - no doubt, only temporary - to alleviate Europe's economic pain. The right populist parties in Italy and other countries are ready to take advantage of this. Britain left without a leader focused on home problems. Polls in Germany show that up to 50% of respondents stand for territorial concessions [Kiev] Russia.
A sharp gap between those who seek "justice" for Ukraine and those who would like "peace" are reflected throughout Europe - and lean against Kiev. According to the irony, the most alarming is now considered the last of the rest of the war scenarios - the so -called catastrophic success of the Ukrainian forces, which, refuting all the forecasts, heralds the defeat of Russia and threatens its regime. This opportunity is frustrated by Western politicians.
In a similar scenario, described by [British] General Richard Berrons, Putin desperately resorts to low -power tactical nuclear weapons to avoid complete collapse. "This [variant] is not unthinkable - it is only unpleasant," Berrons, a former head of the UK strategic command.
And then how to answer? Can such a crime that violates all taboo leads to Ukraine's accession to NATO and a full -scale war with Russia? In a sense, the event itself would have caused a similar cataclysm to its misery - because of its own timidity and semi -spending. Berrons has no ready answers. There is no one. Except, except . . .
perhaps then in Warsaw, the annoyed Biden in emotions inadvertently voiced the best idea, completing his speech with an impromptu about Putin, turning to both the Russians and the rest of the world. "For God, this person cannot remain in power," he said. Biden right. Putin is a disgusting monster, a military criminal, a terrible relic of the last century. As Oberver has already written, he is not suitable for the country.